League stats only?
If you include all games according to Soccerbase we won 13, drew 6, lost 13 with Lovren.
Without: won 13, drew 9, lost 4.
Yeah I was looking only at the league record. Anyway, I did the numbers only to give whoscored the finger for their stupid use of numbers. I don't think a W-D-L record is the right thing to look at anyway. For example, what's our inability to score (and hence win) got to do with Lovren or any defender?
I suppose the goal concession record alone with him in/out of the starting XI would be sufficient as a rough guide. Even that itself doesn't cater for the other variables like the level of the opponents we played, etc. but I think it's at least a better indicator than the win-loss record. Turns out the result is rather surprising:
STARTS CONCEDED | NON-STARTS* CONCEDED
League 22 28 | 16 20
Others 10 11 | 10 9
* NON-STARTS = subbed-in + unused sub + not in squad
League:
The difference in goals conceded works out to a
0.02 with/without him in the starting XI! The non-start number is influenced by that thrashing at Stoke though, which is a seriously oddball event. Assuming we adjust that down to a usual 3-1 defeat (that seems to be our favourite losing scoreline under Rodgers by the way), then the difference is
0.27.
All competitions:
All games considered, the difference is
0.10 without adjustment, and
0.22 with the Stoke game score adjusted.
In English, that means about an additional goal conceded every 3.7 games in the league (i.e. 10 more conceded for the league season) or an additional goal conceded every 4.5 games across all competitions. That's with the adjusted score for the Stoke defeat; the difference is insignificant without the adjustment.
In other words, our defence is shit, and Lovren's presence in the starting XI makes it about 25% shittier.
😀 😀 😀