Betting 2012 weekly football bets.

[SummerOnions]

won £46 on Maxi to score first, yippee!

 

[redsar]

I put a small bet on overs @2.1

Double win today. Thanks Glen Johnson! 🙂

 

[Pesam]

Back to winning ways with a £300 overall profit. Another winning weekend next week and I can put the recent bad spell behind me.

Soccer / Chelsea v Liverpool : Match Odds 20-Nov-11 16:00 20-Nov-11 17:52 -10.00 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Chelsea v Liverpool : First Goalscorer 20-Nov-11 16:00 20-Nov-11 16:53 -4.00 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Millwall v Bristol City : Match Odds 20-Nov-11 13:15 20-Nov-11 15:10 43.79
Soccer / Millwall v Bristol City : First Goalscorer 20-Nov-11 13:15 20-Nov-11 13:43 11.42 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Swansea v Man Utd : Match Odds 19-Nov-11 17:30 19-Nov-11 19:22 -11.00
Soccer / Swansea v Man Utd : First Goalscorer 19-Nov-11 17:30 19-Nov-11 17:49 -1.30
Soccer / Aldershot v Gillingham : Over/Under 2.5 goals 19-Nov-11 15:00 19-Nov-11 17:09 28.99
Soccer / Torquay v Plymouth : Match Odds 19-Nov-11 15:00 19-Nov-11 17:03 -20.00
Soccer / Yeovil v Exeter : Match Odds 19-Nov-11 15:00 19-Nov-11 16:59 38.08
Soccer / Derby v Hull : Match Odds 19-Nov-11 15:00 19-Nov-11 16:54 -40.01
Soccer / L Orient v Stevenage : Match Odds 19-Nov-11 15:00 19-Nov-11 16:52 98.06
Soccer / Man City v Newcastle : Match Odds 19-Nov-11 15:00 19-Nov-11 16:52 15.71 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Scunthorpe v Hartlepool : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 19-Nov-11 15:00 19-Nov-11 16:38 87.12 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Barnsley v Doncaster : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 19-Nov-11 15:00 19-Nov-11 16:26 33.32 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / West Brom v Bolton : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 19-Nov-11 15:00 19-Nov-11 15:22 14.28 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Norwich v Arsenal : Over/Under 2.5 goals 19-Nov-11 12:45 19-Nov-11 14:03 25.70 (3% Challenge)


Overall profit on this thread £717

 

[Pesam]

Small lay of Walsall winning at home to Exeter @ 2.3

 

[Bazza The Kopite]

Went for an Arsenal win at 2.3. Decent price for a home game considering the run they have been on.

 

[Pesam]

[quote author=Bazza The Kopite link=topic=46434.msg1431313#msg1431313 date=1322091882]
Went for an Arsenal win at 2.3. Decent price for a home game considering the run they have been on.
[/quote]

Good one Baz. I need to leave the Champions League alone though........I lost on the 3% challenge because I couldn't see Leverkeusen beating Chelsea. I thought the team Chelsea had out looked very strong and was confident of the bet! My downfall is always when I bet on a game in which I haven't seen one of the teams play in recent times and don't know most of the players i.e. Leverkeusen.

Roll on the weekend.

 

[Pesam]

Small lay of Sheff Utd winning at Chesterfield @ 2.02 (kick off 1pm)

 

[Pesam]

Small lay of Millwall winning at Palace @ 3.0
Over 2.5 goals Blackpool v Birmingham @2.16 Small bet

Really not a lo9t of value around.

Small bet Over 2.5 goals Swindon v Aldershot @ 1.98

 

[Pesam]

Soccer / Charlton v Huddersfield : Correct Score 28-Nov-11 19:45 28-Nov-11 21:46 -3.00 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Charlton v Huddersfield : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 28-Nov-11 19:45 28-Nov-11 21:42 22.63 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Charlton v Huddersfield : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 28-Nov-11 19:45 28-Nov-11 20:29 33.28 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Liverpool v Man City : To Score 27-Nov-11 16:00 27-Nov-11 18:28 -10.00 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Liverpool v Man City : Correct Score 27-Nov-11 16:00 27-Nov-11 17:55 -4.00 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Liverpool v Man City : Liverpool Clean Sheet? 27-Nov-11 16:00 27-Nov-11 16:35 66.57 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Swansea v Aston Villa : Over/Under 2.5 goals 27-Nov-11 13:30 27-Nov-11 15:28 20.92 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Swansea v Aston Villa : Match Odds 27-Nov-11 13:30 27-Nov-11 15:26 14.26 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Arsenal v Fulham : First Goalscorer 26-Nov-11 17:30 26-Nov-11 19:40 11.41 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Swindon v Aldershot : Over/Under 2.5 goals 26-Nov-11 15:00 26-Nov-11 17:48 -60.00
Soccer / C Palace v Millwall : Match Odds 26-Nov-11 15:00 26-Nov-11 17:11 28.53
Soccer / Blackpool v Birmingham : Over/Under 2.5 goals 26-Nov-11 15:00 26-Nov-11 17:07 38.73
Soccer / Leeds v Barnsley : Match Odds 26-Nov-11 15:00 26-Nov-11 16:58 11.41 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Chelsea v Wolves : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 26-Nov-11 15:00 26-Nov-11 15:59 16.17 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Chesterfield v Sheff Utd : Match Odds 26-Nov-11 13:00 26-Nov-11 14:54 -43.86
Soccer / Walsall v Exeter : Match Odds 23-Nov-11 19:45 23-Nov-11 21:36 31.38
Soccer / Leverkusen v Chelsea : Match Odds 23-Nov-11 19:45 23-Nov-11 21:34 -53.00 (3% Challenge)

This thread has had a dull couple of weeks with every winning bet being matched by a losing one.............Bank now on £711.

 

[Pesam]

Small lay of Cardiff beating Blackburn @ 2.12

Not looking good 2-0 to Cardiff, £10 lay of Cardiff winning to win £100

 

[Pesam]

Mmmm, I seem to be quite distracted by the 3% Challenge. The winning bet last night on United not winning-to-nil should really have been for this thread but my focus seems to have shifted because I'm quite enjoying the 3% thingy. I'll endeavour to stick rigidly to sticking certain types of bet in each thread althoug from time-to-time there might be bets that are suitable for either thread.


Soccer / Man Utd v C Palace : To Qualify 30-Nov-11 19:45 30-Nov-11 22:20 19.26
Soccer / Man Utd v C Palace : First Goalscorer 30-Nov-11 19:45 30-Nov-11 21:24 3.18**
Soccer / Man Utd v C Palace : Man Utd Win to Nil 30-Nov-11 19:45 30-Nov-11 21:14 170.48
Soccer / Leicester v Blackpool : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 29-Nov-11 19:45 29-Nov-11 21:58 -6.00
Soccer / Cardiff v Blackburn : Cardiff Win to Nil 29-Nov-11 19:45 29-Nov-11 21:41 -100.00
Soccer / Cardiff v Blackburn : Match Odds 29-Nov-11 19:45 29-Nov-11 21:40 -76.12 (ALL BETS 3% CHALLENGE APART FROM THIS ONE)
Soccer / Southampton v Hull : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 29-Nov-11 19:45 29-Nov-11 20:55 19.12
Soccer / Watford v Bristol City : Over/Under 2.5 goals 29-Nov-11 19:45 29-Nov-11 20:35 20.16
Soccer / Derby v Brighton : Derby Win to Nil 29-Nov-11 19:45 29-Nov-11 20:02 19.49

** This small profit was part of an attempt to lay Berbatov as 1st goalscorer last night @ 4.4, I didn't think the bet was matched but afterward realised that someone had nibbled at it.


Profit for this thread @ £635

 

[Pesam]

Small bet over 2.5 goals Ipswich v Watford @ 1.92
Small bet over 2.5 goals Peterbro v Barnsley @1.68
Small lay of Southampton beating Doncaster @ 1.90
Small lay of Luton beating Cheltenham @ 2.4

 

[Pesam]

Small bet over 2.5 goals AFC Totten v Bristol Rovers @ 1.73

Hahaha, bet won in 13 minutes, Bristol Rovers 3 up already and 3 absolute stunning goals - worth a watch at half time if you're not watching the game.

 

[Pesam]

£15 stoke to win at everton to @ 6.0

 

[Pesam]

Football / Wolves v Sunderland : Wolves Total Goals 04-Dec-11 16:00 04-Dec-11 17:55 8.19 (3% Challenge)
Football / Wolves v Sunderland : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 04-Dec-11 16:00 04-Dec-11 17:34 36.18 (3% Challenge)
Football / Everton v Stoke : Match Odds 04-Dec-11 15:00 04-Dec-11 16:58 71.40
Football / AFC Totton v Bristol Rovers : Over/Under 2.5 goals 04-Dec-11 12:30 04-Dec-11 12:45 34.56
Football / Luton v Cheltenham : Match Odds 03-Dec-11 15:00 03-Dec-11 17:01 57.06
Football / Shrewsbury v Rotherham : Match Odds 03-Dec-11 15:00 03-Dec-11 17:00 27.66 (3% Challenge)
Football / Doncaster v Southampton : Match Odds 03-Dec-11 15:00 03-Dec-11 16:57 61.81
Football / QPR v West Brom : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 03-Dec-11 15:00 03-Dec-11 16:39 51.73 (3% Challenge)
Football / Ipswich v Watford : Over/Under 2.5 goals 03-Dec-11 15:00 03-Dec-11 16:36 39.36
Football / Man City v Norwich : Over/Under 2.5 goals 03-Dec-11 15:00 03-Dec-11 16:28 41.84 (3% Challenge)
Football / Peterborough v Barnsley : Over/Under 2.5 goals 03-Dec-11 15:00 03-Dec-11 16:14 32.81
Football / Stourbridge v Stevenage : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 03-Dec-11 14:00 03-Dec-11 15:55 13.98 (3% Challenge)
Football / Newcastle v Chelsea : Match Odds 03-Dec-11 12:45 03-Dec-11 14:41 47.55 (3% Challenge)
Football / Newcastle v Chelsea : First Goalscorer 03-Dec-11 12:45 03-Dec-11 13:41 -3.00 (3% Challenge)
Football / C Palace v Derby : Correct Score 02-Dec-11 19:45 02-Dec-11 21:42 32.33 (3% Challenge)
Football / C Palace v Derby : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 02-Dec-11 19:45 02-Dec-11 21:41 41.84 (3% Challenge)

Damn you David Luiz! 16 bets and the only loser was the £3 bet on side-show Luiz being the 1st goalscorer against the Toon. Still, overall a £600+ profit between the 2 challenges is none too shabby.

Overall profit on this thread £932

 

[redsar]

Good day at the office. Congrats.

 

[Pesam]

[quote author=redsar link=topic=46434.msg1438025#msg1438025 date=1323085065]
Good day at the office. Congrats.
[/quote]

Thanks Redsar. It puts me up about £2,300 for the season but I've been up this much before at this stage of the season and gone back to zero profit so I'm taking nothing for granted. I'll be happy enough with a £2,000 profit for the season, anything above that is a bonus.

 

[Pesam]

[quote author=Pesam link=topic=46434.msg1438027#msg1438027 date=1323085725]
[quote author=redsar link=topic=46434.msg1438025#msg1438025 date=1323085065]
Good day at the office. Congrats.
[/quote]

Thanks Redsar. It puts me up about £2,300 for the season but I've been up this much before at this stage of the season and gone back to zero profit so I'm taking nothing for granted. I'll be happy enough with a £2,000 profit for the season, anything above that is a bonus.
[/quote]


Just to clarify above, in case anyone is following these bets, I don't want to sound too negative because, even the season in which I went from +£2,500 back down to level, I still finished the season up over £2,000. I'm confident that I can finish this season somewhere between £4,000 and £7,000 in profit.

 

[redsar]

4k-7k over a season would be great, having in mind inevitable losing streaks. You manage to keep good staking discipline which is the key to success. Although I'm not a big money bettor, I often find myself chasing consecutive losses that ultimately wipe out my account.

 

[Pesam]

£170 over 2.5 goals Barnsley v Palace to win £207.........this bet is split 50/50 between this thread and the 3% one.

Edit: Half time 1-1, the reporter on SKY Sports has implied it's end-to-end and there's been loads of missed chances. I'm sure thye bet will come good but I've still decided to lay some of the bet back to lessen my liability...........sold £120 @ 1.31 so my liability is now £50 on under 2.5 goals and £170 potential profit on over 2.5 goals (still split 50/50 between the 2 threads)

 

[Pesam]

[quote author=redsar link=topic=46434.msg1438212#msg1438212 date=1323111062]
4k-7k over a season would be great, having in mind inevitable losing streaks. You manage to keep good staking discipline which is the key to success. Although I'm not a big money bettor, I often find myself chasing consecutive losses that ultimately wipe out my account.
[/quote]

I'm not sure I could call it a "staking plan" but I do always try not to bet if I don't find value and that's sometimes difficult. If, on a busy saturday of fixtures, I don't find much value there is always a temptation to speculate and that tends to lead to trouble. I still do it sometimes but I'm fairly disciplined these days.

The main reason I couldn't claim to have a staking plan is because I could do 10 or 12 smallish bets and then spot something I find tasty and bet £500-£1,000. It doesn't always work out but about 3 times a season I'll do something a bit wild 🙂

Palace are unusually playing 2 up front tonight and IMO Palace's best CB McCarthy is on the bench. Barnsley have 2 good defensive midfielders but are playing 2 good forwards (Ranger is decent at this level and I like Craig Davies a lot) and 1 decent wide player and an excellent creative midfielder called Buttefield, so hopefully there's enough there to get the over 2.5 goals sorted.

 

[Pesam]

Very speculative..............£10 Hull to be leading at half time but Birmingham to win, to win £430

 

[Pesam]

Basle 1-0 United..................£100 lay Basle winning to win £65 (would love to lose this bet)

Edit: this actually should be in the 3% thread.

 

[redsar]

[quote author=Pesam link=topic=46434.msg1439831#msg1439831 date=1323286661]
Very speculative..............£10 Hull to be leading at half time but Birmingham to win, to win £430
[/quote]

Unlucky with this one mate. The opposite happened.

 

[Pesam]

[quote author=redsar link=topic=46434.msg1439962#msg1439962 date=1323294150]
[quote author=Pesam link=topic=46434.msg1439831#msg1439831 date=1323286661]
Very speculative..............£10 Hull to be leading at half time but Birmingham to win, to win £430
[/quote]

Unlucky with this one mate. The opposite happened.
[/quote]

Yeah, I couldn't see much value in the match bet because they're quite evenly matched but I just thought that at 43/1 it was worth £10. The odds on the reverse were 30/1 and I did think about it but chose not to.

I was however delighted to lose the other bet on Man United 🙂

 

[Pesam]

Laying Swindon quite heavily @ 2.36ish because I'm not convinced this price will be available tomorrow. Swindon's best player (by a considerable distance) is Matt Ritchie and he's suspended tomorrow. Bristol Rovers have a couple of new midfielders on loan who look decent and overall their squad is better than their league position suggests. IMO the correct price for a a Swindon win should be between 2.6-2.7.

 

[Pesam]

I rarely bet on a team with a shit manager but Barnet annoy me, they have some very good players and should be doing better despite the fact Sanchez hasn't a clue what he's doing.

£20 Barnet to win at torquay to win £72. If they win it's because they're at least as good as Torquay, if they lose it's because they have an eejit for a manager.

 

[Pesam]

Small lay of Rotherham winning away at Hereford @ 2.28
Small bet on over 2.5 goals in Huddersfield V Bournemouth game @ 1.75
Big lay of Swindon winning at Bristol Rovers @ 2.34 (the price is even lower now @ 2.3)
Small lay of Hull winning at Coventry @2.36
Small bet over 2.5 goals Northampton V Crewe @1.84

 

[Pesam]

Soccer / Stoke v Tottenham : Match Odds 11-Dec-11 16:00 11-Dec-11 17:56 47.60 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Sunderland v Blackburn : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 11-Dec-11 13:30 11-Dec-11 15:33 30.46 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Barnsley v Ipswich : First Goalscorer 10-Dec-11 17:20 10-Dec-11 17:46 102.82 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Northampton v Crewe : Over/Under 2.5 goals 10-Dec-11 15:00 10-Dec-11 17:12 -43.00
Soccer / Hereford v Rotherham : Match Odds 10-Dec-11 15:00 10-Dec-11 17:09 -76.80
Soccer / Crawley Town v Burton : Match Odds 10-Dec-11 15:00 10-Dec-11 17:06 100.91 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Bristol Rovers v Swindon : Match Odds 10-Dec-11 15:00 10-Dec-11 17:04 462.02
Soccer / Coventry v Hull : Match Odds 10-Dec-11 15:00 10-Dec-11 17:02 -61.20
Soccer / Huddersfield v Bournemouth : Over/Under 2.5 goals 10-Dec-11 15:00 10-Dec-11 17:01 -50.00
Soccer / Southampton v Blackpool : Over/Under 2.5 goals 10-Dec-11 12:45 10-Dec-11 13:54 82.16 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Torquay v Barnet : Match Odds 09-Dec-11 19:45 09-Dec-11 21:41 -20.00
Soccer / Hull v Birmingham : Half Time/Full Time 07-Dec-11 19:45 07-Dec-11 21:41 -10.00
Soccer / FC Basel v Man Utd : Match Odds 07-Dec-11 19:45 07-Dec-11 21:38 -102.00 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Barnsley v C Palace : Over/Under 2.5 goals 06-Dec-11 19:45 06-Dec-11 21:25 162.03 (£81 to the 3% Challenge and £81 for this thread)


Profit on this thread now £1216

 

[Pesam]

Small lay of Southen beating Bradford City @ 1.85