Betting 2012 weekly football bets.

[Pesam]

i'm not too clued up on this betting malarkey but some of my mates in germany got 60-1 on bayern winning on penos the other night . 60-1 !!! are they not crazy odds ? anyway a couple of them are a few grand up now . The lad who told them the odds only got 120 as he only put €2 on , the fool !


*EDIT - actually I should add it was 60-1 on real also to win on pens which didn't make much sense but then again would you bet against germans in a peno shootout? . Is 60-1 normal , what would you normally expect to get for a bet like that ?

I suppose it depends on when the bet was struck. If it was before the first leg then I suppose 60/1 for Bayern to prevail on penalties over the 2 legs is feasible. If it was after the 1st leg..............I would expect Real Madrid to have been no more than 8/1 to win 2-1 and ensure extra-time. Then I would guess it was about Evens (maybe slightly more i.e. 5/4) that there would be no goals in extra time so that would give us 16/1-18/1 and then probably 5/4 Munich to win on penalties.

So I reckon that the BEST price after the first leg on Bayern winning on penalties would be 40/1.

 

[RedZeppelin III]

interesting , cheers for the explanation . i believe they put the bet on an hour before the game , bookies is across road . Germans love betting and gambling but they don't really have the same culture of a 'bookies' so you always seem to get weird bets and odds from time to time .

 

[Pesam]

£20 Newcastle to win at Chelsea to win £136
£20 Dundee Utd to win at Rangers to win £78

 

[SummerOnions]

Taken £10 on Newcastle to win at 7/1, come on you geordies (feels weird saying that)

 

[SummerOnions]

Decent shout!

 

[Pesam]

Decent shout!

Nice one, tidy profit for both of us there SO. The price just looked too big; Chelsea's midfield did not justify their short price.

 

[SummerOnions]

I ended up putting more on it, made £350!

Taking money out my account so i don't bet on our game this saturday, I'll be too biased (and drunk)

 

[Pesam]

£12 Mark Hudson 1st goal Cardiff v West Ham to win £648

 

[Pesam]

£69 lay of Blackpool beating Birmingham to win £50

 

[Pesam]

£69 lay of Blackpool beating Birmingham to win £50

1-0 to Blackpool at halftime.

Another £40 lay of Pool..............now -£110 on them and +£150 on Birmingham or the draw.

 

[SummerOnions]

Unlucky mate, didn't reckon that King goal was offside.

£10 on LFC winning on penalties to win £120
£10 on LFC winning 3-2 to win £430

 

[Pesam]

3-2? I think it's gonna be a tighter affair than that but good luck.

£100 lay of Sheffield United beating Exeter to win £160
£40 over 2.5 goals Bournemouth v Preston to win £39
£15 Yeovil to win at Huddersfield to win £75
£10 Walsall to win at MK to win £56
£61 lay of Barnet winning at Burton to win £50
£103 lay of Oxford winning at Port Vale to win £70

 

[Pesam]

3-2? I think it's gonna be a tighter affair than that but good luck.

£100 lay of Sheffield United beating Exeter to win £160
£40 over 2.5 goals Bournemouth v Preston to win £39
£15 Yeovil to win at Huddersfield to win £75
£10 Walsall to win at MK to win £56
£61 lay of Barnet winning at Burton to win £50
£103 lay of Oxford winning at Port Vale to win £70

1-1 half time Exeter v Sheff Utd and United down to 10 men......sold the liaibility in the bet so +£5 on United win and +£110 on Exeter or draw.

 

[Pesam]

£20 Downing 1st goal v Chelsea to win £500
£10 Agger 1st goal to win £390
£10 Glenjo 1st goal to win £560
£5 Spearing 1st goal to win £500

 

[Pesam]

Bolton 1-0 WBA.................£20 WBA to win, to win £160

 

[Pesam]

Bit of a long shot..............£45 Danny Graham 1st goal in United v Swansea game to win £945

 

[Pesam]

£6 Mark Hudson 1st goal West Ham v Cardiff to win £414

 

[livvy145]

I had Vaz Te to score

 

[Pesam]

Agyemang 1st goal Stevenage v Sheff Utd to win £270

 

[Pesam]

£115 lay of MK Dons beating Huddersfield to win £90
£10 Rhodes 1st goal to win £56

 

[Shadey]

£115 lay of MK Dons beating Huddersfield to win £90
£10 Rhodes 1st goal to win £56

Nice one,, did you go for that..

 

[Pesam]

Nice one,, did you go for that..

Yes,it was a decent start to the day. I wanted to follow it up with a bet on Mohsni 1st goal in Crewe v Southend but Betfair haven't got a price for him!

This game could be a cracker.

 

[Pesam]

£122 lay of LFC winning at Swansea to win £100
£2.50 Kelly 1st goalcsorer to win £139
£10 McAuley 1st goal WBA v Arsenal to win £480
£20 Wolves to win at Wigan tomwin £108
£10 Ebanks-Blake 1st goalWigan v Wolves to win £158
£7 Sessegnon 1st goal Sunderland v United to win £122

 

[Pesam]

£64 lay of Sheff Utd beating Stevenage in 90minutes to win £70
£7 Lawrie Wilson 1st goal to win £273

 

[Pesam]

£16 lay of Huddersfield qualifying for the final to win £200

 

[Pesam]

£200 over 2.5 goal Southend v Crewe to win £183

Edit: Should have been at least 2 goals and easily 3 goals in the first half but as there's only one I'm backing out of this bet with a £7 loss whatever the result.

 

[Whitey85]

How did you do over the season Pesam? Profit/loss?

 

[Pesam]

How did you do over the season Pesam? Profit/loss?

Yeah sorry I should have finished this off..............overall profit of £1,200 which is hugely disappointing as I was up over £3,000 at one stage and was anticipating £6k+.

I'm not sure what went wrong, I couldn't "get my teeth" into the 2nd half of the season.......there were periods of weeks in which no decent betting opportunties appealed to me.

In previous seasons I have encountered periods of 10-14 days where there was a dearth of, what I considered, good games to bet on wheras this season there was a spell of about 5 weeks where I struggled to spot anything!

I suppose by the law of averages this was bound to happen and if it happens again next season I'll be more circumspect/cautious with my betting because I suspect the £2k loss over the last few months came about due to boredom of waiting for a decent betting opportunity to materialise.

I'll do this again next season and hopefully will be more consistent.

Did you have any luck this season Whitey?

 

[Whitey85]

£1,200 is a decent holiday...treat yourself.
I've not done alot of betting this past season to be honest so ive no idea where i am. I keep transferring any profits straight to my account so im never tempted to do any stupid bets.

 

[Pesam]

£1,200 is a decent holiday...treat yourself.
I've not done alot of betting this past season to be honest so ive no idea where i am. I keep transferring any profits straight to my account so im never tempted to do any stupid bets.

I'm not complaining Whitey, profit is profit but it was my worst performance in many years and my springtime performance was abject.

I'm hoping to win a few quid on the Euro's but I'll start cautiously. I did put £800 on Poland to win the competition @ 50/1 at the beginning of the week because I, correctly, guessed that their price would come down before kick off today. I just cashed-out of the liability in the bet (at prices of 45/1 and 44/1) so have a "free" £3,800 runner on the Poles.