US Election thread - Kamala v Donald
- Thread starter localny
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I don't really understand why American politics has gotten so polarized and why most of the candidates are pretty poor. I think it all kicked off with Omaba though
It's happening everywhere... it's shit
Why? It’s the most real-time and unfiltered medium. Lots of much smarter people than me on there too.
That’s TikTok.
C’mon, even God almightly Himself is on Twitter:
View: https://x.com/TheTweetOfGod/status/1853822886764855805
I enjoy your posts when you take the time to detail your thoughts, arguments, analysis, and opinions.
When you just paste shit from x that's obviously biased shitty propaganda, I think it's unbecoming.
Well, sorry to disappoint you. Sometimes there is nothing “detailed” to say, except to laugh at the fascists.
Well, that just cheered me up, 'coz I'm terrified about what I think is about to happen. Where are you seeing this data? I've seen none of it before you said this. Not doubting you, just want to read something that doesn't fill me with dread for the future of my girls...
Yeah, somewhat partisan, but data driven look at what's happening on the ground
x.com
twitter.com
x.com
twitter.com
There's a lot in these links on different things, to MI, WI, and PA voter trends, showing youth, female, and senior voting surges for democrats. It's possibly similar to 2022 when D's overperformed polls because of Roe, and also because R's (like this year) were using polls to create a fake red wave and a D dense of dread. Effectively weaponizing the polls.
This guy is good and is signaling Nevada trending R (the only state)
x.com
twitter.com
Voter Enthusiasm is as good tea leaves as you can find. This usually determines who wins. Except when there's an incumbent.
Democrats Drive Surge in Election Enthusiasm
Sixty-nine percent of U.S. adults say they are more enthusiastic about voting than usual, up from 54% in April, with Democrats driving the increased enthusiasm.
news.gallup.com
She's also got the "Momentum" going into this election - and my final data point? It's not real data. It's belief that most decent Americans see this fruitcake for who he is.
But, forget the polls. Not reliable.
We're gonna win mate. BUT, we still live in Texas. Allred has a good shot though. But you know, never get hopeful for D's in Texas 🙂
This is also a fun thing to do. It's an electoral college map you can play with so you can see how it trends.
I give her the blue walls, and I give him all the S-U-N belts states. And she still wins.
www.270towin.com
I give her the blue walls, and I give him all the S-U-N belts states. And she still wins.
2024 Presidential Election Consensus Forecast - 270toWin
The consensus ratings from numerous forecasters for the 2024 presidential election.
www.270towin.com
This is also a fun thing to do. It's an electoral college map you can play with so you can see how it trends.
I give her the blue walls, and I give him all the S-U-N belts states. And she still wins.
2024 Presidential Election Consensus Forecast - 270toWin
The consensus ratings from numerous forecasters for the 2024 presidential election.
I've been using that all week, mate, and I've built myself a s/sheet to keep a close track on the Electoral College Vote numbers, too.
Yes, I'm a sad gobshite. But we already knew that...
Nothing sad at all. I think it's brilliant! Fair play. I mean it's madness the lunatic even has a chance. But in my heart of hearts, I feel Americans won't elect such an amadan. She will win, and by more than we think
I'm so bored by how pathetic politics is now, but why would anyone want to be US president in this atmosphere? Militias wandering about suburbs and the chance of you getting assassinated about 60/40.
Also as has been pointed out before, it's not even about politics any more. It's closer to reality TV or the x factor than an actual policy debate.
Also as has been pointed out before, it's not even about politics any more. It's closer to reality TV or the x factor than an actual policy debate.
