Ireland cry foul over play-off seedings ahead of Italy's visit
• South Africa hopes could be hurt by Fifa U-turn
• Ireland set to miss Damien Duff for Italy match
David Hytner guardian.co.uk, Wednesday 30 September 2009 23.05 BST Article history
Giovanni Trapattoni has begun to prepare for the World Cup qualifying tie against his native Italy on Saturday week without the winger Damien Duff, as he and the rest of the Republic of Ireland set-up absorbed the body blow of Sepp Blatter's apparent U-turn on European play-off seeding.
Ireland, who are unbeaten in competitive matches under Trapattoni, are most likely to finish second to Italy in qualifying Group Eight and so advance into the play-offs in November for a place at the finals in South Africa.
They had been led to believe that the draw for the four two-legged play-off ties would be open and, as such, increase their chances of progress. Yet the Fifa president Blatter has now announced that seeding, based on Fifa rankings, will come into play, raising Irish suspicions of a carve-up for the continent's leading nations.
Ireland would almost certainly be among the four unseeded nations in the draw and with the prospect of Germany or Russia, France, Croatia and Greece reaching the play-offs as seeds, there is no doubt that their hopes would be hurt by Blatter's plan. Ireland would prefer to have the chance to draw Slovenia, Bosnia, Norway or Sweden, although the latter might be pipped to the play-offs by Portugal. The worst second-placed finisher from the nine groups will be squeezed from the play-off picture.
"A year ago, we were told by Fifa that the play-offs would most likely not be seeded," said the Football Association of Ireland's chief executive, John Delaney. "But a couple of weeks ago, they wrote to us to say that it would now most likely be seeded. We'd have been delighted to be in the play-offs at the start of the group and we'll take what we get."
Ireland can still finish on top of Group Eight to qualify automatically but for that to happen, they would have to win their remaining fixtures against Italy and Montenegro on Wednesday week [14 October], which are both at home in Dublin, and also have Italy drop points in their final tie away to Cyprus.
Duff's probable absence against Italy is a setback. The Fulham winger went off against Arsenal last Saturday with a calf strain, although the problem is not as serious as was first feared and he is expected to report to Dublin on Monday. The Fulham manager Roy Hodgson said the player would be "very much touch and go" for Italy.
"We think he will be at least two weeks from the date of the injury," Hodgson said. "If Damien is fit and he has totally recovered, we would not dream of stopping him from playing for his country but I would think for Ireland, they would be on tenterhooks to see whether he would recover for that first game."