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State of the title race

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What do we want the situation to be at HT when City come in? I think we want us to be level so they don't feel like our match is a foregone conclusion. Maybe 0-0 in both games. Or would us being 2-0 / 3-0 up at HT really ramp up the pressure?

I'm putting all hopes on Villa snatching a draw but think 14% chance is generous!
 
What do we want the situation to be at HT when City come in? I think we want us to be level so they don't feel like our match is a foregone conclusion. Maybe 0-0 in both games. Or would us being 2-0 / 3-0 up at HT really ramp up the pressure?

I'm putting all hopes on Villa snatching a draw but think 14% chance is generous!

14% is the chance of us winning the title, not of City not winning. That's probably more like 20%.
 
14% is the chance of us winning the title, not of City not winning. That's probably more like 20%.

I may be being stupid here, but how are those probabilities not the same?

If City don't win the title, then we do - surely the odds must be the same, no?
 
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