Kicker are claiming he was on the verge of agreeing a move to us. £19 million, with him earning £175k a week. Then he switched agents. Bayern I think would like the money rather than the player. Rummenigge's quotes today about Mario needing to consider how much playing time he wants could be interpreted as them urging him to leave. That's how some are spinning it.
Basically it'll be a status quo if he stays, he won't be a first choice next season even if fit. His best chance would be for injuries to Robben and Ribery while he actually stays fit at the same time, which has irked most Bayern fans. A bit similar to Sturridge for us, all the talent in the world, but can't keep him off the physio table.
Personally, I think he wants to go back to Dortmund, and he's hoping a good Euros will either get them interested, or at worst another CL team interested. His place in the Germany squad is secure so he doesn't feel the need to join us at this time and is prepared to play a waiting game for another move.