The race
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I think the next two games will define out title credentials. Two away games, one in form and the other in a bad run bar a game against Saints.
2 wins and I think it knocks the wind out the Arsenal's sails. Drop any more points and we will really be saying goodbye to our buffer and the pressure will really ramp up.
2 wins and I think it knocks the wind out the Arsenal's sails. Drop any more points and we will really be saying goodbye to our buffer and the pressure will really ramp up.
Fuck me yesterday feels like such a missed opportunity to get a really big buffer at the top. We have a lot of tough away games in the second half of the season and every point between us & Arsenal will be needed in my opinion.
I am going to find it hard not to stew on this until Tuesday next week (when we better put in an epic performance of control, effort, intensity)
I am going to find it hard not to stew on this until Tuesday next week (when we better put in an epic performance of control, effort, intensity)
After watching Newcastle terrorise Arsenal I’m more confident that we do not need to be perfect to win the league. I still want it all done by the end of April though.
We just need to find our control back. Too many games recently have been open, end-to-end and our midfield & back line has just rushed everything. I am confident this will return soon, although not sure Forest will be the place. That will be a game about guts and being clinical.
That should be our focus despite having two games before. I’m not overly worried about Brentford. Despite them taking the lead against Arsenal they looked dead on their feet. Get 6 points and really crank up the pressure.
I’d be concerned if they weren’t so shit.
Well they might get their act together.
They were lucky as shit against Leicester and West Ham because both of those sides are even worse.
West Ham outshot them 17 to 9 FFS ! City were just more clinical/lucky.
Leicester hit the woodwork twice too which would’ve completely turned the game had they gone in. City are still woeful at the back and over reliant on the tap in robot.
exactly...
We do have a game in hand so it’s 5 loses.
You can't say that because we haven't played that game yet.
I reckon worse.
Something big's coming.
Here's my advice. Save your pennies. Leave the big purchases or expenditures for another time.
You need to reassess that statement mate !
Yeah, just realised.
Daddy Dantes is calling you to come home for your tea !
Well, you wont be joking about this if you were one of the folks in LA now.
Anyway apologies. Back to football.
That’s him done for the season.
The way Arsenal are playing, if we win our next 5 games, we'll basically win the league.
Time to update this. :
Just a reminder in case anyone STILL thinks City or Arsenal can go on a 10 game winning streak :-
Arsenal are 11-7-2 to date (55% win percentage) (2.0 ppg)
Forest 12-5-4 (57% win percentage) (2.0 ppg)
Chelsea 10-7-4 (48% win percentage) (2.0 ppg)
City 10-5-6 (48% win percentage) (2.0 ppg)
7 points may not look like a lot at this stage, and with 18 games to go, however looking at it statistically and not as ... if we lose 2 games and draw one whilst they win 3 on the bounce. Which statistically is high unlikely.
We have a 70% win percentage and 2.35 points per game (vs. their 2.0 ppg). If we and Arsenal were to have reverse fortunes in the second half of the season and we fall to 2.0 ppg (the same as the rest of the Top 5) then we'll end up on 83 points (less than my forecast of 87 points).
To catch up with us Arsenal would require 43 points from 18 games (having achieved 40 points from 20 games to date) to send it to GD. A record of something like W13 D4 L1 over the last 18 games whilst we would have to have something akin to W11 D3 L4. To reach my forecast of 87 pts Arsenal will need W15 D2 L1.
Whilst for sure I can see us dropping off (from a 70% win percentage) due to tougher fixtures (aways) and the CL, however I can't see us winning barely just 50% of our games whilst losing 4 games in 18 (see Localny's fixture list I've posted below). Arsenal need to seriously up their game and whilst out of the FAC they will also have CL fixtures to contend with and currently a long injury list. It is though just a 2 horse race.
Latest Odds this morning:
Liverpool 4/11
Arsenal 4/1
City 33/1
Forest 66/1
Chelsea 66/1
Especially the Bolded in Red bit.
Just a reminder in case anyone STILL thinks City or Arsenal can go on a 10 game winning streak :-
Arsenal are 11-7-2 to date (55% win percentage) (2.0 ppg)
Forest 12-5-4 (57% win percentage) (2.0 ppg)
Chelsea 10-7-4 (48% win percentage) (2.0 ppg)
City 10-5-6 (48% win percentage) (2.0 ppg)
7 points may not look like a lot at this stage, and with 18 games to go, however looking at it statistically and not as ... if we lose 2 games and draw one whilst they win 3 on the bounce. Which statistically is high unlikely.
We have a 70% win percentage and 2.35 points per game (vs. their 2.0 ppg). If we and Arsenal were to have reverse fortunes in the second half of the season and we fall to 2.0 ppg (the same as the rest of the Top 5) then we'll end up on 83 points (less than my forecast of 87 points).
To catch up with us Arsenal would require 43 points from 18 games (having achieved 40 points from 20 games to date) to send it to GD. A record of something like W13 D4 L1 over the last 18 games whilst we would have to have something akin to W11 D3 L4. To reach my forecast of 87 pts Arsenal will need W15 D2 L1.
Whilst for sure I can see us dropping off (from a 70% win percentage) due to tougher fixtures (aways) and the CL, however I can't see us winning barely just 50% of our games whilst losing 4 games in 18 (see Localny's fixture list I've posted below). Arsenal need to seriously up their game and whilst out of the FAC they will also have CL fixtures to contend with and currently a long injury list. It is though just a 2 horse race.
Latest Odds this morning:
Liverpool 4/11
Arsenal 4/1
City 33/1
Forest 66/1
Chelsea 66/1
