The race
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I like to check the odds (gives me a deeper, warmer feeling of security) because the bookies will have done far more in depth research and odds checking that we could manage in a lifetime so :
Liverpool 2/7
Arsenal 5/1
City 33/1
Forest 40/1
Chelsea 80/1
I imagine if we win that game in hand that those odds will strengthen considerably.
Liverpool 2/7
Arsenal 5/1
City 33/1
Forest 40/1
Chelsea 80/1
I imagine if we win that game in hand that those odds will strengthen considerably.
Well we said if we could maintain the 9pt lead through Jan we would start to believe. We are getting closer, just need to take it one game a time.
Still so quick to change. It went from looking like 2pts back to 9pts in the blink of an eye yesterday.
Still so quick to change. It went from looking like 2pts back to 9pts in the blink of an eye yesterday.
Damn. We played a double header and I missed the second match. How many did we beat Everton by? Same team?
72-0.
All the bluenoses then marched down to Bramley Moor, climbed to the top then threw themselves into the Mersey.
Win win!
I'm holding off on any excitement about the title until mid-April. If the current rate of points accumulation continues through to the end of the season, we could be approaching mathematical likelihood/certainty by then. However, if the club is still relying on the final fixtures against Chelsea, Arsenal, or Brighton, it would suggest there have been some bumps along the way, and things could get very tense.
And there’s plenty of scope for those bumps to occur; away matches against Bournemouth, City, and Villa, along with two derby games and Champions League football, are far from straightforward. Navigate through all of those, and I’ll be clearing a weekend at the end of May.
If Arsenal had a clinical striker, or if Saka and perhaps now Saliba were fully fit, I’d be more concerned. I have confidence in Slot and the players—many know exactly what it takes. But I have even more confidence in Arsenal bottling more points than we will, and ultimately, that’s all that matters. The transfer market remains the wild card in play, but let's just say I'm not bothered by Arsenal sniffing around a mountain loving defensive midfielder to replace their rapey defensive midfielder. What they really need is a signing reminiscent of our Sturridge signing, and the chances of that happening are remote.
And there’s plenty of scope for those bumps to occur; away matches against Bournemouth, City, and Villa, along with two derby games and Champions League football, are far from straightforward. Navigate through all of those, and I’ll be clearing a weekend at the end of May.
If Arsenal had a clinical striker, or if Saka and perhaps now Saliba were fully fit, I’d be more concerned. I have confidence in Slot and the players—many know exactly what it takes. But I have even more confidence in Arsenal bottling more points than we will, and ultimately, that’s all that matters. The transfer market remains the wild card in play, but let's just say I'm not bothered by Arsenal sniffing around a mountain loving defensive midfielder to replace their rapey defensive midfielder. What they really need is a signing reminiscent of our Sturridge signing, and the chances of that happening are remote.
Well that’s the narrative, if we drew it was going to be 2pts as Arsenal were going to win and we were going to lose our game in hand.
Now of course we will win our game in hand.
Amazing how logic goes out the window with injury time winners 😀
They need a defender too.
Can Forest maintain their form? They look so good.
Yeah I'd rather we have the league sewn up by mid April so we can focus on the cups.
Weirdly, I want us to lose another game. I don’t think I could face the Forest fans trying to hold it over everyone that they were the only side to beat us in the league this season.
Arsenal are 6 points behind us, and we have a game in hand.
Last season, at this stage, Arsenal had 46 points from 22 games while we had 51. By the end, they finished 7 points ahead of us.
Last season, at this stage, Arsenal had 46 points from 22 games while we had 51. By the end, they finished 7 points ahead of us.
I remember when we used to celebrate getting four points off Man U.
But I agree, hopefully its the last game of the season and we've already lifted the trophy.
This guy clearly copied my post ! I should sue !
https://www.sixcrazyminutes.com/threads/the-race.208771/page-8#post-2384110
How have they all got a 2.0 points per game average? Or have i read that wrong.
I mean side note stats and that but shit can turn real bad real quick as City found out
This Arsenal isn't that Arsenal.
More importantly THIS Liverpool isn't THAT Liverpool.
It's rounded, however, at that time, they had not all played the same number of games but were all within a point or so of each other so virtually 2 ppg for all of them.
By Adam Rowe:
87 points wins us the league.
That accounts for City winning every game from here and Arsenal / Forest dropping six points.
Liverpool need 37 points from the next 51 available.
17 games, 11 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats.
I say this just so we can all calm down a little bit. It’s not one of them seasons where every single dropped point is catastrophic. Of course we wanna win every game and walk to a title; but we don’t *have* to - so relax a bit.
87 points wins us the league.
That accounts for City winning every game from here and Arsenal / Forest dropping six points.
Liverpool need 37 points from the next 51 available.
17 games, 11 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats.
I say this just so we can all calm down a little bit. It’s not one of them seasons where every single dropped point is catastrophic. Of course we wanna win every game and walk to a title; but we don’t *have* to - so relax a bit.
I would bet money on Arsenal dropping six points by mid-April, let alone by the end of the season. If City improve, it could work in our favour, especially if they take points off both Forest and Arsenal. Second place will likely finish in the early 80s for points. The absence of Saliba, Jesus, and Saka will have a bigger impact than any challenges Arsenal faced in the first half of the season. Maintaining their points haul from the first round of fixtures is probably the best they can hope for—particularly once teams start defending better against their corners.
City will beat Forest. Beat them into the ground, then burn the trees and salt the earth.
Arsenal will drop more than 6 points by the end of Feb.
We can do that in May, when we've already sewn it all up and are playing the kids to keep the first team fresh to seal the quad.
Arsenal didn't lose any key players in the summer, so I find it mildly bemusing how last season everything was dandy, singing the Havertz song with great elation every week and now all a sudden the narrative is drawn they need a whole new forward line.
Tried to tell them for the last 2 years how fortunate they've been, they really underestimated what a few injuries can do to a squad so I'm fucking glad they've finally found themselves on the receiving end of a few. Gabriel and Rice next please.
Tried to tell them for the last 2 years how fortunate they've been, they really underestimated what a few injuries can do to a squad so I'm fucking glad they've finally found themselves on the receiving end of a few. Gabriel and Rice next please.
