Time to update this again (as a total windup) :
Arsenal's recent record is : W6 D3 L1
Ours : W6 D4 L0
No point giving the Forest or City records any more.
Arsenal have a game in hand and remaining matches are H6 A6. We have 11 matches but with 7 at Anfield and just 4 (A) and even those are winnable : Fulham, Leicester, Chelsea & Brighton.
If we say win 6 games, draw 2 and somehow lose 3 then we'll have 81 points. To catch up with us Arsenal would require 28 points from 12 games or 2.33 points per game (having achieved 53 points from 26 games to date, or 2.0 points per game) to send it to GD. A record of W9 D1 L2 over their last 12 games.
If we go W7 D3 L2 (inc. losing at home to Arsenal) we'd have 85 points and then they'd need W10 D2 L0
Latest Odds:
Liverpool : the best you can get is 1/12 the worst 1/20 !
Arsenal between 6/1 and 12/1
City 400/1
OPTA (from the supercomputer’s 10,000 simulations)
Liverpool 95.8% (over a 10% gain after the City and West Ham results)
Arsenal 4.2%