Andy Carroll is probably not that familiar with the work of Hugh Everett, nor his many-worlds interpretation of quantum theory. He has probably not discussed the scorn Everett – according to Wikipedia, the father of former Eels frontman Mark Everett – attracted for his interpretation of history as many branches on a tree in which every possible past and future exists, rather than a single, straightforward narrative. Such topics, in all honesty, are rarely raised on football training grounds, or in Blu Bambu.
Explaining why Andy Carroll’s arrival by helicopter on Merseyside late on Monday night – to the delight of all the aviation enthusiasts who fill the offices of Sky Sports News – was not, as has widely been accepted, an act of deep-seated desperation by Liverpool’s new owners Fenway Sports Group, but rather a shrewd, calculated message of defiance and intent, though, requires reference to Everett’s theory.
If all possible pasts and futures – and therefore presents – exist in any number of parallel universes, then there is a Merseyside out there, somewhere, that did not see Carroll touch down on Monday night. There is a Newcastle which still has its latest home-town hero. There is a Liverpool which replaced Fernando Torres with Luis Suarez and squirrelled away the £50 million fee received from Chelsea for the Spaniard for the summer, when a proper assessment of the squad’s strengths and weaknesses could be carried out.
In that world, Newcastle passed Monday night peacefully. In that world, Chelsea are delighted, their own statement of intent reverberating around the football world. In that world, Liverpool are the losers. As well as mourning the loss of the man they loved more than any other, they can look forward only to the bleakest of seasons. They are simply waiting for it all to be over, so that, in the summer, the revolution FSG promised can begin.
Except that even that holds scant solace. FSG came in, you see, with promises of being so different to Tom Hicks and George Gillett. They would free up the funds that had previously been spent on interest and reinvest it in the team. Had they sold Torres and not replaced him – or, even, replaced him with a stop-gap signing, such as Johan Elmander – they would have stood accused of doing what their predecessors did when Xabi Alonso and Javier Mascherano left, of failing to invest the funds. Liverpool’s fans would have spent the next six months asking how the new owners were different, exactly, to the old owners.
In one flourish of his pen, in one tear of his chequebook, John W Henry ended that reality (at least in this universe…). Liverpool did not emerge from Manic Monday as winners, of course. They emerged as gamblers. Gamblers, though, at least have ambition. That is a priceless commodity. It is certainly worth an inflated transfer fee.
Instead of dreading seeing their team without Torres, Liverpool are now wondering what they will look like with Suarez and Carroll; they want to see how Kenny Dalglish will implement his two strikers; they can approach the rest of the campaign, not with gusto, for they remain in 7th place in the Premier League, but with intrigue. And that is better than loss.
Instead of seeing countless newspapers question their owners, their fate, their dreams and their place in or out of the elite, Liverpool have been accused of spending a vast sum of money recklessly. Arsene Wenger is disapproving of their profligacy in breaking the British transfer record, for a few moments, at least. Twice in a day they broke their club transfer record. 12 months ago, less, those same newspapers were questioning whether Liverpool would be forced to go into administration.
Whether Carroll is worth the huge sum lavished on him only time will tell. It is certainly inflated. It is hardly warranted by his experience. It is not – contrary to perception – a betrayal of FSG’s Moneyball principles. Sabermetrics, the dogma espoused in the tome which has to be read to understand the way Liverpool are going to be run, allows teams to identify young, cheap talent that can be recruited inexpensively so as to afford them a sprinkling of stardust; the Boston Red Sox are run according to Sabermetrics. They are still paying Carl Crawford $142 million over seven years. Carroll, though, remains a risk. He may fulfil his potential, justifying his fee. He may not.
But FSG may yet look back on that £35 million as the best they ever spent, regardless. How attractive would Liverpool, deprived of Torres, have been to players come summer had their owners failed to act? How deep would have been the gloom that set in at Anfield? At a club which has been in permanent dusk since Hicks and Gillett first rode into down, the dawn has broken. Many Liverpool fans would have paid anything for that feeling. At least this way, they’ve got a striker thrown in.
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/sport/rorysmith/100015059/100015059/