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WWIII Return of the Ruskie

Still, we should not underestimate the impact of Israel standing in solidarity with Ukraine. Let's see Putin's next move. We now have an explicit reference to standing in solidarity, which is far more than empty inferences. Their courage in speaking out is huge. It will put incredible amounts of severe psychological pressure upon Putin. Particularly if this drags on, and they reiterate their support on the six-month anniversary of the annexation, that will be a strong statement and I think there'd be a real chance of making Putin surrender at least two of the regions, if not all of them.

5k likes on the tweet already. It's picking up some serious traction!!! Putin simply cannot ignore such a resounding show of support, he will crack, mark my words.
 
The roots of the current tragic mess lie here. At one stage Ukraine had a government whose pro-Russia policies reassured the majorities in those areas you identify above and, in the process, kept the lid on Putin's warmongering but alienated a majority of its own population enough to get itself overthrown. That government - crucial point, this - had been democratically elected. so the pro-Russian majority areas will have seen that as a direct attack on their democratic rights. The West also grossly mishandled the whole thing when EU representatives joined the victorious rebels in the streets to celebrate the overthrow of the previous government. That was always going to risk provoking Russian intervention. Nothing, NOTHING excuses what Putin's been doing since, but it goes some way towards explaining it.

If a fair referendum was held right now and included people who have been displaced by the war, staying with Ukraine would win by a huge margin in every region bar Crimea (where it's more complicated because of all the Russians who moved there after 2014). But that's beside the point, because a region can't just unilaterally declare referendum to break away – if it was so Russia would lose Chechnya and many other regions instantly, China would lose Xinjiang etc etc.

In 1991 referendum, support for creation of the independent Ukrainian state was this:



My mom voted in that referendum (in the Donetsk region in the East). She said she was so excited to vote for independence she literally ran to the polling place.

(My mom native language is Russian BTW - don’t let the propaganda confuse you into believing Russian-speaking = pro-Russian!)
 
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If a fair referendum was held right now and included people who have been displaced by the war, staying with Ukraine would win by a huge margin in every region bar Crimea (where it's more complicated because of all the Russians who moved there after 2014). But that's beside the point, because a region can't just unilaterally declare referendum to break away – if it was so Russia would lose Chechnya and many other regions instantly, China would lose Xinjiang etc etc.

In 1991 referendum, support for creation of the independent Ukrainian state was this:



My mom voted in that referendum (in the Donetsk region in the East). She said she was so excited to vote for independence she literally ran to the polling place.

(My mom native language is Russian BTW - don’t let the propaganda confuse you into believing Russian-speaking = pro-Russian!)


Your family is from Donetsk?
 
Anyway, the Russians have been busy collapsing again. One day after Ukraine started a sneaky armoured excursion down the west bank of the Dnipro, Russian command has issued a general order for the troops in Northern Kherson to retreat back to their next line, to avoid being encircled.

They're all still trapped behind the river though though.
 


Would be a strong statement for Putin if he managed to chuck a few of the UFC roster into the front line.
 
Presumably he has a Swedish passport too. Unless the new government there is inclined to tell him he's no longer welcome in their country and to go fuck himself, which would be most unfortunate. Except for Colby Covington who's life has been spared, some poor bastard in Ukrainian will have their life taken instead.

I for one love to see it.

conor-cov.jpg
 


Looks like the process of Russian surrender is quite streamlined now. Ukrainian army has a special phone hotline where a time and place can be agreed. Those two lucky bastards will get a substantial monetary compensation for bringing in a fully-functioning tank.
 
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Russia claiming the bridge was blown up by a truck bomb. Doesn't look like it to me. Explosion looks like it comes from off camera to in.
 
Several explosions in Kyiv.. classic Russian playbook, all eyes will be on Kyiv, something big may be on the way elsewhere.
 
It's a bit shocking that after so many strikes and raids there is barely any NATO air defence around Kyiv.
 


This is the Russia-installed "governor" of the Donetsk region, the man in charge of the region where I grew up. What he is saying is a fairly mainstream position in the imperialistic/hawkish circles in Russia, which now control the government's policy and all of the TV propaganda. He just put it slightly more bluntly, but in essence this is what they all believe – Ukrainians are really Russians who are "poisoned" by the West to believe that they are Ukrainians and Russia's existential interest is to eliminate us. There is no negotiating with this.



And this is how they are trying to brainwash their soldiers into thinking they are fighting some kind of “holy war” against the “satanists” and LGBT.
 
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Russia claiming the bridge was blown up by a truck bomb. Doesn't look like it to me. Explosion looks like it comes from off camera to in.

I've seen at least one video from a British ex-general saying there was a possibility the truck could have been carrying badly secured Russian ordnance which went off because it hadn't been competently handled or packed.
 
Starlink is still working in Ukraine… for now.

I wonder what was Putin’s “offer” to Musk - help with financing the Twitter buyout? A preferential deal on Ukraine’s world-leading lithium reserves once he (in his imperial wet dreams) conquers and subjugates the country? I don’t buy this is all because one Ukrainian official told him to sod off - this is a classic red herring to draw attention away from the real story.

I can also see why a wealthy industrialist might prefer a totalitarian government to a democratic one. It’s so much more convenient - you make a deal with just one person; there are no pesky environmental reviews, lawsuits or nosy press - the person you made the deal with will make sure any opposition will be crushed or physically eliminated. I guess that’s why big business largely supported Hitler and Mussolini.
 
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I never understood all the admiration and love in for Musk.

Whenever someone brings him up as an inspirational leader it always sits uneasy with me.



I ain't a fan tbh I think he just somehow managed to find a niche for himself as a billionaire who cares about the average person
 
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