The Manchester derby dictates all of this I reckon.
Yep - a draw puts us in the driving seat for 3rd.
A City win, gives us space over Utd for 4th, but outs city in the driving seat for 3rd.
A Utd win makes it very much a 3 way fight for 2 places.
Ultimately, it's in our hands - we win every game left - we can't finish lower than 4th.