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Downing

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[quote author=gene hughes link=topic=44931.msg1362415#msg1362415 date=1310222520]
If KD thinks Downing may be the difference between winning the league and not winning it, I suspect he'll react a bit more intelligently than some of you to the prospect of paying a few million more than he expected.
[/quote]

Phooey, gene. For one thing that's a big "if" - witness the fact that Kenny tried to get a 4-year contract out of FSG, which is at least a broad guide to the time he thinks it'll take to establish us as title challengers. For another, the approach you set out just writes a blank cheque for any chancer who wants to weasel "a few million more" out of us.
 
[quote author=FoxForceFive link=topic=44931.msg1362420#msg1362420 date=1310223536]
Let's put it another way, is it better to pay 5m more than we'd like & have the best LW we can afford & attract, or have 15m sat unused & LW yet again?
[/quote]

I agree with you Jon, but it seems like your talking to quite a few deaf ears on this one. People seem to think we can attract every top player out there.
 
Some people are just being flat-out unrealistic and others being ridiculously defensive over this potential transfer and it's cost.

The truth is clearly somewhere in between the two.

I don't think many people saw anything of him last season as he was was actually half decent.

What did Utd pay for Jones and Young?

What have we paid for Carroll and Adam? British talent costs a premium, plain and simple.
 
People would rather go without and try to buy a player who doesn't exist
L
 
Carroll's fee was down to Torres leaving us in the lurch at a bad time. Young's a better player. Jones cost £16 mill. Adam cost £7 mill.

Is there any point at which you fellas would draw a line and say £X mill.is too much?
 
Disagree over young. He's not a better player

Jones was overpriced (and 20m+ with add ons)

I wouldn't like to spend 20m on downing, but I'm realistic enough to know we'll struggle to find better who WANTS to come to us
 
I was trying to be flat out unrealistic and ridiculously defensive.

And he does exist. He's out there somewhere. Maybe in France or Germany or Mexico. I'm not a scout. Can it really be that the best left winger willing to play for Liverpool in the entire world is Stewart downing and we have to pay 25 million for it. Seems unfair to me.
 
Stuart Downing is the best Liverpool football club can attract, and he is worth £20M. Unless you agree with this you are "deluded".

Haha, no. Not for me.
 
I'm just asking for a name squigg, any winger who hasn't recently said they're happy where they are or mentioned another preferred destination.

Downing is selfless with a cracking cross who'll work for the team.
I'd still only pay maximum 17m for him, but until we have a backup then *shrugs*
 
[quote author=Judge Jules link=topic=44931.msg1362433#msg1362433 date=1310225397]
Carroll's fee was down to Torres leaving us in the lurch at a bad time. Young's a better player. Jones cost £16 mill. Adam cost £7 mill.

Is there any point at which you fellas would draw a line and say £X mill.is too much?
[/quote]

Young was in the last year of his contract and i'd like to see some stats from last season that suggest he is a better player than Downing?
 
[quote author=FoxForceFive link=topic=44931.msg1362374#msg1362374 date=1310219845]
[quote author=dmishra link=topic=44931.msg1362365#msg1362365 date=1310218586]
[quote author=FoxForceFive link=topic=44931.msg1362305#msg1362305 date=1310210935]
Whilst I agree 25m is way too high, 'average no name' is fucking offensive & way ott.
[/quote]

It's about as accurate a description I can think of. He's 27, played his entire career for mid-table Premiership sides with a production comparable to the likes of Leon Osman and Morten Gamst Pedersen. Who're both average no-names.

As for his value, a good yardstick for comparison is Kuyt, who we bought when he was 26 for about 10m. Now considering his Downing's productivity over the last 5 years has been inferior to Kuyt's and he has no significant advantage in terms of either pace or skill over Kuyt (or whatever little he has gets negated by Kuyt's superior work rate), I'd say his value is about 6-8m. We're looking to pay something in the range of two and a half times that amount. I understand that you need to pay a premium for English players and I can accept that in case of players like Carroll and Henderson who have the 'potential' to be worth what they cost over the course of their entire career (provided of course they stick around). I see absolutely no reason to do that for Downing, when he will offer us, at the best 3-4 years of average productivity (read about 25 goals and 25 assists).
[/quote]

6-8m?? Hahahahahaha. Go take a reality pill.
[/quote]

I'm not quite sure what you mean by that. Do you mean that Downing's productivity is worth more than 6-8m or do you mean to say that it's not possible to get a player with Downing's productivity at 6-8m. If it's the latter, then you're wrong because over the last 2 years, I can think of the following players who've gone for that price range

VdV
Hernandez
Johnson
Osvaldo
Adebayor
Pastore
Soldado
Borriello
Sahin
Podolski
Payet

All of whom are if not younger, more skilful, or better than Downing, have produced at least as much, if not more than him over the last 2 years.

If it's the former, you vastly overrate him.

By the bye, spending the kind of money we're thinking of spending on him fetches you the likes of Ozil, Matri, Cavani, Zarate, Diego, Bastos, Gourcuff i.e. significantly better and potentially world class players.

As for there not being a better winger in the same price range out there, in the one month this transfer window has been open - we've already seen Young, Gervinho, and Payet going for 16 m or less. All three being left wingers who're younger, more skilful and have produced at a higher clip than Downing over the last 2 years.

Off the top of my head, I can think of the likes of N'zogbia, Elia, Costa, Turan who I'd rather go for than Downing (and who I'm pretty certain we could realistically land).

The point really is that there is invariably value to be found in every transfer window. It's why we brought in Comolli. If all he can do is land us Stewart Downing for 18m, then there's something fucking wrong with our scouting department.
 
He is a good crosser of the ball. Carroll is a good headerer of the ball. It could be good I suppose. Like when Kenny paid over the odds for Stuart Ripely to get the ball into Shearer? They went on the win the league. Hmmm! Maybe I can get behind this...just maybe.
 
But it's all well and good luck naming players. Who WANTS to come to us

Turan is the only one is say would come to us. But what's he done the past few years.

We were after young and we missed out
Payet I know little of but I guess he'd want to go to the league champions and play champions league
Gervinho... champions league and English challenge
N'zogbia said he wanted to go back to Newcastle... aspirational
 
If as it seems Downing is our number 1 target for that position and Kenny believes he's worth it then I'd trust his judgement over anyone else. He wouldn't be my first choice but Kenny obviously sees something in him that fits in with his plan and what he wants him to bring to the team. That's why he's manager of Liverpool Football Club and we're...well...teachers, students public servants etc etc etc.
 
I think he'd fit better in our pass and move philosophy as he's not a ball greedy tit who wants to skin 4 players whenever he got the ball.
 
[quote author=FoxForceFive link=topic=44931.msg1362419#msg1362419 date=1310223435]
[quote author=Mistadobalina link=topic=44931.msg1362413#msg1362413 date=1310222346]
I know we are not going to sign Nasri or Modric of course I was thinking about the fees expected for the talent they offer. Downing isn't as talented so why should we pay that kind of money? Wait until we find a player of that standard who wants to play for us. We are still a pretty attractive club paying the highest wages.

There must be someone out there better than downing available for 20 million who will play for us.
[/quote]

Why? Why MUST there be?

We CANNOT offer Champions League football. Most top players want CL footy above all else. Left wingers are possibly the rarest commodity in football, next to loyalty & honesty of course.

So to just assume there MUST BE someone better than Downing for 20m is niave at best IMO.

As for waiting until we find someone of that standard, I assume our goals next season is 4th place minimum. That means Kenny believes a LW is intrinsic to that aim. Without meeting that target we arent as attractive as CL rivals, so we cant attract those players at the very top of their profession.

I beginning to understand why other fans thinks us Liverpool fans are deluded.
[/quote]

PREACH!!
 
basically we want a top class winger

* technically gifted
* good crossing ability
* able to go past players
* who isn't going to drift inside every five minutes
* who is willing to live in the north west
* who is around 20m
* who doesn't mind not being in the CL
* who doesn't mind not being in europe at all
* who is willing to play for a team that finished the last two seasons outside of the top 4

this player must also resist the advances of teams that;
* ARE in the CL
* probably located in a hot sunny country
* probably located in the capital
* probably will offer him more money

now I'm not saying this player doesn't exist but I think it will be very very difficult to secure such a player
 
[quote author=spider-neil link=topic=44931.msg1362455#msg1362455 date=1310229038]
basically we want a top class winger

* technically gifted
* good crossing ability
* able to go past players
* who isn't going to drift inside every five minutes
* who is willing to live in the north east
* who is around 20m
* who doesn't mind not being in the CL
* who doesn't mind not being in europe at all
* who is willing to play for a team that finished the last two seasons outside of the top 4

this player must also resist the advances of teams that;
* ARE in the CL
* probably located in a hot sunny country
* probably located in the capital
* probably will offer him more money

now I'm not saying this player doesn't exist but I think it will be very very difficult to secure such a player
[/quote]

I hope he's an 'elicopter
 
[quote author=Sheik Yerbouti link=topic=44931.msg1362457#msg1362457 date=1310229160]
[quote author=spider-neil link=topic=44931.msg1362455#msg1362455 date=1310229038]
basically we want a top class winger

* technically gifted
* good crossing ability
* able to go past players
* who isn't going to drift inside every five minutes
* who is willing to live in the north east
* who is around 20m
* who doesn't mind not being in the CL
* who doesn't mind not being in europe at all
* who is willing to play for a team that finished the last two seasons outside of the top 4

this player must also resist the advances of teams that;
* ARE in the CL
* probably located in a hot sunny country
* probably located in the capital
* probably will offer him more money

now I'm not saying this player doesn't exist but I think it will be very very difficult to secure such a player
[/quote]

I hope he's an 'elicopter
[/quote]

:laugh:
 
Neil and Foxy make a good point.
In our position we are going to have to pay a premium for the sort of player some people are expecting, its no use underestimating the effect of being out of the CL in attracting players.
We may get Mata, but I bet he is waiting for offers to come in from CL sides first.
I think its expensive for him, but we must improve the team.

regards
 
[quote author=Judge Jules link=topic=44931.msg1362425#msg1362425 date=1310224812]
[quote author=gene hughes link=topic=44931.msg1362415#msg1362415 date=1310222520]
If KD thinks Downing may be the difference between winning the league and not winning it, I suspect he'll react a bit more intelligently than some of you to the prospect of paying a few million more than he expected.
[/quote]

Phooey, gene. For one thing that's a big "if" - witness the fact that Kenny tried to get a 4-year contract out of FSG, which is at least a broad guide to the time he thinks it'll take to establish us as title challengers. For another, the approach you set out just writes a blank cheque for any chancer who wants to weasel "a few million more" out of us.
[/quote]

Two things Jules, I didn't say 'next year' and do you think KD would have only asked for a one year contract if he thought we were going to win the league next year? That's nonsensical.
 
[quote author=dmishra link=topic=44931.msg1362365#msg1362365 date=1310218586]
[quote author=FoxForceFive link=topic=44931.msg1362305#msg1362305 date=1310210935]
Whilst I agree 25m is way too high, 'average no name' is fucking offensive & way ott.
[/quote]

It's about as accurate a description I can think of. He's 27, played his entire career for mid-table Premiership sides with a production comparable to the likes of Leon Osman and Morten Gamst Pedersen. Who're both average no-names.

As for his value, a good yardstick for comparison is Kuyt, who we bought when he was 26 for about 10m. Now considering his Downing's productivity over the last 5 years has been inferior to Kuyt's and he has no significant advantage in terms of either pace or skill over Kuyt (or whatever little he has gets negated by Kuyt's superior work rate), I'd say his value is about 6-8m. We're looking to pay something in the range of two and a half times that amount. I understand that you need to pay a premium for English players and I can accept that in case of players like Carroll and Henderson who have the 'potential' to be worth what they cost over the course of their entire career (provided of course they stick around). I see absolutely no reason to do that for Downing, when he will offer us, at the best 3-4 years of average productivity (read about 25 goals and 25 assists).
[/quote]

^^^^^
This is the best explanation as to why Downing for 20m is a terrible terrible idea.

Top post. People really need to start seeing Downing for what he is.
 
[quote author=FoxForceFive link=topic=44931.msg1362383#msg1362383 date=1310220326]
Where's this world class left winger who is available for 20m & willing to play for us?

Anyone? It keeps getting mentioned, time & again, yet I've no idea how anyone knows there's a world class left winger there who wants to play for us & is available for 20m.

I'm more amazed that our staff at the club don't know TBH.
[/quote]

If they're so creatively bankrupt to think Downing at 20m is the best we can do, like you appear to, then they all deserve the sack. Kenny, Commoli - the lot. It would be a criminal waste of money to pay a penny over 15m - and even that overvalues Downing significantly.
 
[quote author=FoxForceFive link=topic=44931.msg1362420#msg1362420 date=1310223536]
Let's put it another way, is it better to pay 5m more than we'd like & have the best LW we can afford & attract, or have 15m sat unused & LW yet again?
[/quote]

It's better to have the 20m available for a better player than to spend it on Downing. It's that sort of approach that got us where we are.
 
[quote author=FoxForceFive link=topic=44931.msg1362420#msg1362420 date=1310223536]
Let's put it another way, is it better to pay 5m more than we'd like & have the best LW we can afford & attract, or have 15m sat unused & LW yet again?
[/quote]

If there aren't players that are good enough for a position we need, I'd prefer we don't buy anyone and wait until there is such a player. I don't want us to waste that kind of money on a player thats not the long term solution.
 
Ross, you're viewing individual players and their value like cars or something. The value of a player is the difference he makes to the team and its results (and through that to the brand) not his skills or tekkers or whatever.
 
Seriouly, Downing is no more than an average English talent and the reported fee is way over the top. Not a signing we should aspire to. I for one hope we don't get him but if we do then we must give him a chance to prove himself in a Red shirt like every other player.
 
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