Euro stats stats and more stats.
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Because many tend to start cautiously and embrace any 'non-negative' results they get, only to go all out for it when it becomes do or die?
*Since Wayne Rooney made his debut in 2003, the Three Lions have recorded stronger results in competitive games when he has NOT played. #England
*England have won 75 per cent of their matches when Rooney has been missing, compared to a 66 per cent win ratio when he has been involved. #England
*The Three Lions have won 31 of the 47 games they have played with Wayne Rooney. #England
*Of the 12 clashes Wayne Rooney has missed, England have fared better, winning nine and drawing two. #England
*England have won 75 per cent of their matches when Rooney has been missing, compared to a 66 per cent win ratio when he has been involved. #England
*The Three Lions have won 31 of the 47 games they have played with Wayne Rooney. #England
*Of the 12 clashes Wayne Rooney has missed, England have fared better, winning nine and drawing two. #England
This is a stats thread not a gambling thread.
Honestly. You do my fucking head in.
That made me chuckle.
The Rooney one was better by 1005%
There's been no penalties in the 24 matches so far.* But there is likely to be lots in the matches England play from now on.
*Disclaimer. I don't remember any anyway.
*Disclaimer. I don't remember any anyway.
None scored??
How am I the only one to have 'liked' this joke?
Indeed.
I'm massively unappreciated for my comedic ability and ability to regurgitate others jokes. But I digress .... I looked that word up in a dictionary once. A Mirriam Webster dictionary as I recall now. I bought it while on holiday in Paris. Paris is lovely, particularly in springtime. But also in Autumn too. Or Fall as they call it in Canada. God I love maple syrup.
I'm starting to regret encouraging you now.
On first glance, the below table indicates that both teams had a very high number of shots, suggesting that they were often able to take control of the ball in advanced positions on the field. Holland actually lead the way in the number of unblocked shots taken during the group stages with 48, while Russia were able to fire off 40 of their own.
The second column backs this firepower up, with Russia and Holland recording an xG -expected goals - value (i.e. the likelihood of the position on the field where the shots were taken from resulting in a goal) that ranks them 3rd and 4th respectively in terms of chances created. Holland recorded an expected goals figure of 4.33, while Russia bettered that slightly with 4.36.
However, the xG(OT) - expected goals following the shot - value shows that although these shots were taken from good positions, the quality of the chances was diminished by the subsequent direction and placement of the effort. The Netherlands ranked 14th out of 16 in this regard, dropping nearly two goals (-1.94) from their expected tally based upon the chance alone.
It is this area in which the two teams differ. Russia managed to overcome their attacking inefficiency to score 5 goals in the group stage, the joint second highest total, thanks largely to the goals of Alan Dzagoev.
Utilising our historical European championships data (we have full data stretching back to the 1980 tournament) the Dutch team's striking efforts is actually the worst (by volume) in a group stage of the Euros since then:
The worst individual offenders for Russia and Holland from this year's tournament are Kerzhakov and Robben:
In fact, Kerzhakov is only the third player to accrue less than -1 SGA in the group stages since 1980. However, he still falls some way short of poor Luca Toni's efforts at the last tournament:
The second column backs this firepower up, with Russia and Holland recording an xG -expected goals - value (i.e. the likelihood of the position on the field where the shots were taken from resulting in a goal) that ranks them 3rd and 4th respectively in terms of chances created. Holland recorded an expected goals figure of 4.33, while Russia bettered that slightly with 4.36.
However, the xG(OT) - expected goals following the shot - value shows that although these shots were taken from good positions, the quality of the chances was diminished by the subsequent direction and placement of the effort. The Netherlands ranked 14th out of 16 in this regard, dropping nearly two goals (-1.94) from their expected tally based upon the chance alone.
It is this area in which the two teams differ. Russia managed to overcome their attacking inefficiency to score 5 goals in the group stage, the joint second highest total, thanks largely to the goals of Alan Dzagoev.
Utilising our historical European championships data (we have full data stretching back to the 1980 tournament) the Dutch team's striking efforts is actually the worst (by volume) in a group stage of the Euros since then:
The worst individual offenders for Russia and Holland from this year's tournament are Kerzhakov and Robben:
In fact, Kerzhakov is only the third player to accrue less than -1 SGA in the group stages since 1980. However, he still falls some way short of poor Luca Toni's efforts at the last tournament:
Just how did the calculate them expected goals? I wonder.... Especially the after shot part one. Surely a joke?
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