No Ross, both statements are opinions.
Naive, uneducated ones at that.
So tactics don't have any influence on who wins a game ?
Fair enough.
No Ross, both statements are opinions.
Naive, uneducated ones at that.
If there were stats that backed it up I would see the logic in it.
So show me some statistical evidence
You dont need a stat to show you that when a team has more possession they're less likely to concede than when they have less.
I'm sure there are plenty but I'm fucked if I'm looking for them. I've looked at opta before, it makes my brain bleed.
It's not like you can't play posession based football with defenders that can actually defend.
Funny how we've had more success in the last 2 decades being reserved, than we have playing more open and adventurous football. Barca are just the latest craze, attacking fullbacks aren't indicative of any "right" way,we've been statistically poorer defensively since Johnson arrived, and it's had negligible impact on our attack prowess.
Opta statistics, produced in conjunction with Castrol, show that over the past two seasons in the Premier League in only around a third of games did one side have 60% of possession or more, and when they did they won 52% of the time, and lost 25%.
If a side had 70% possession or over (which happened in 4.7% of games), they won 67% of the time and lost 17%.
In the closer games, having 50-59.9% possession meant a side won 43% of the time and lost 31%. So there is a clear correlation between dominating possession and winning matches. Intuitively, we know that there are sides who are successful at counter-attacking, which logically means accepting a lower percentage of possession.
Moreover, the results suggest that the ability to retain possession of the ball is linked to success.
Successful teams were found to have significantly longer possessions than unsuccessful teams irrespective of match status.
Top teams keep hold of the ball
- All the teams who finished in the top 3 had 53% possession or greater.
- Only three teams who finished in the top 5 had less than 52% possession.
The team with the most possession doesn’t always win the league
- Of the champions Barcelona (72%), AC Milan (59%) and Lille (57%) had the most possession in their leagues.
- Manchester United (56%) were 3rd in terms of possession. Borussia Dortmund (53%) were joint 4th (53%).
If you win the possession battle you won’t get relegated
- Getafe were lowest placed side who had more than 50% possession. (16th/20 in Spain – 51% possession).
- 13 (out of 15) of the relegated sides had less than 50% possession.
Eschewing possession is a viable strategy to avoid relegation (but it can only take you so far)
- The bottom 8 teams in terms of possession all survived. Stoke (13th/38%), Levante (13th/41%), Blackburn (15th/41%), Gladbach (16th, 42%), Auxerre (9th, 43%), FC Cologne (10th, 43th), Gijon (10th, 43%).
- 4th place was the best league position obtained by a team with less than 50% possession. In fact 3 of the 4th placed teams had less than 50% possession. Udinese (49%), Paris Saint Germain (49%) and Hannover 96 (45%).
In conclusion – possession is important
Perhaps, but it does mean you give up on players like Coutinho. You can't have someone like him and a fullback that stands on the halfway line for 90mins because our left flank would then be empty.
It's all just a trade-off.
I don't see many fullbacks that are great defenders these days anyways.
It was OK. but I still wonder why Brendan played him. It's not like Villa had Ronaldo on the right.
I think he put him on for exactly what we saw a couple of times, making rapid forays upfield and relieving pressure.
We had no physical presence in midfield though
Rodgers realized we have lost the control and wont be getting it back. This sub was meant to just stabilize us and I think it pretty much worked as planned. Borini would have been as useless as Aspas was at that point.
Yup. There were just too many players having 'off' days and the team as a whole just wasn't working.
Damage limitation.
I think they just fell asleep playing the game, because I was really finding it hard to stay awake. There is no intensity to our play.
I think he put him on for exactly what we saw a couple of times, making rapid forays upfield and relieving pressure.