I've taken a closer look at this supposedly very tough match we have at Burnley and especially at that home record (5-2-3, 7 goals vs 6) and they are only winning 50% and even those were against relegation fodder ; Palace, Swansea, Newcastle, Watford and Stoke.
Not looking quite so brilliant now and their recent form is zero wins in the last 4 games.
Our away form is 5-3-2, 27-20, we're unbeaten in our last 15 games, 3 wins in last 4 games and 15 goals in our last 4 away games. I watched Burnley vs. Spurs and they gave as good as they got ... but Spurs murdered them on the break so have provided the blueprint - fast breaks when Burnley do venture out. I think we could win this more comfortably than it looks on paper and a larger squad and fresher legs should help keep the goals coming, which Burnley simply can't match, 1-3.