Poll 6CM Voting Poll

[TheBunnyman]

[quote author=Asim link=topic=40111.msg1100624#msg1100624 date=1273184928]
2-0 Labour now..but not looking good, these are very safe Labour seats and the swings are pretty large.
[/quote]

Well, Labour clearly aren't going to top the poll. But I wouldn't read too much into swings in safe Labour seats: those are precisely the places where people are likely not to vote or to vote in protest against Labour's myriad faults in government. In more marginal seats, when such behaviour might let the Conservatives in, people won't necessarily act in the same way.

 

[23carragold]

Without coming across as a spaz, i dont really get the 'swing' thing?

Labour are 2-0 up at the mo, but people are going on about a massive swing to the Tories, in these seats, but does this actually affect anything in the big scheme of this, or are they just pointing out, that although Labour are winning the seats, they are winning them by less??

 

[livvy145]

The swing doesn't affect anything unless it is copied throughout the country. If the swing from Labour to Conservative continues right across the country at the current 9.9% then Conservative will win a majority.

Sunderland Central: Labour Hold

3-0

 

[Atlas]

HAHA Quality.
people in the back singing 'Who are ya' and Threeeee nil. Thats Sunderland Central

 

[livvy145]

The BNP have increased their vote too.

 

[23carragold]

[quote author=livvy185 link=topic=40111.msg1100627#msg1100627 date=1273185712]
The swing doesn't affect anything unless it is copied throughout the country. If the swing from Labour to Conservative continues right across the country at the current 9.9% then Conservative will win a majority.

Sunderland Central: Labour Hold

3-0
[/quote]

So if this pattern continues, i.e. Labour winning the seats, but Tories getting a higher percentage, the Tories will win?

 

[Atlas]

Swing is based on results last time. So they keep talking about swings so even though Lab won its less than they won by last time.

 

[livvy145]

[quote author=23carragold link=topic=40111.msg1100630#msg1100630 date=1273185842]
[quote author=livvy185 link=topic=40111.msg1100627#msg1100627 date=1273185712]
The swing doesn't affect anything unless it is copied throughout the country. If the swing from Labour to Conservative continues right across the country at the current 9.9% then Conservative will win a majority.

Sunderland Central: Labour Hold

3-0
[/quote]

So if this pattern continues, i.e. Labour winning the seats, but Tories getting a higher percentage, the Tories will win?
[/quote]

The seats Labour have won upto now have been very safe seats in traditional Labour areas. Watch out for the Labour seats with smaller majorities, if they go to the Conservatives, then yes, the Tories could win.

 

[TheBunnyman]

[quote author=23carragold link=topic=40111.msg1100630#msg1100630 date=1273185842]
[quote author=livvy185 link=topic=40111.msg1100627#msg1100627 date=1273185712]
The swing doesn't affect anything unless it is copied throughout the country. If the swing from Labour to Conservative continues right across the country at the current 9.9% then Conservative will win a majority.

Sunderland Central: Labour Hold

3-0
[/quote]

So if this pattern continues, i.e. Labour winning the seats, but Tories getting a higher percentage, the Tories will win?
[/quote]

The early results always favour Labour because they're mostly city centres. If Labour 'keep winning seats', they'll win the election. But they won't keep winning seats.

 

[23carragold]

[quote author=livvy185 link=topic=40111.msg1100632#msg1100632 date=1273185953]
[quote author=23carragold link=topic=40111.msg1100630#msg1100630 date=1273185842]
[quote author=livvy185 link=topic=40111.msg1100627#msg1100627 date=1273185712]
The swing doesn't affect anything unless it is copied throughout the country. If the swing from Labour to Conservative continues right across the country at the current 9.9% then Conservative will win a majority.

Sunderland Central: Labour Hold

3-0
[/quote]

So if this pattern continues, i.e. Labour winning the seats, but Tories getting a higher percentage, the Tories will win?
[/quote]

The seats Labour have won upto now have been very safe seats in traditional Labour areas. Watch out for the Labour seats with smaller majorities, if they go to the Conservatives, then yes, the Tories could win.
[/quote]

Yeah i get the concept that the people with the most votes in each place win that particular seat!! 😛 im not that much of a spaz, its just that the coverage was going on about the 'swing' like it was going to affect something bigger - i know what i mean, but im not explaining it very well.

I get that obvioulsy a swing at this percentage in other areas, will lead to the Tories winning those particular seats.

 

[Sheik Yerbouti]

*Pushes swing*

*Gets told off by the wife and ordered to come indoors*

 

[themn]

[quote author=Asim link=topic=40111.msg1100622#msg1100622 date=1273184200]
Also, out of curiosity have any celeb type figures said they will leave the county should Cons win or Lab stay in?
I seem to remember a few saying they would leave the country last time.
[/quote]

Gary Barlow and Frank Lampard are Conservatives.

Make of that what you will.

 

[Atlas]

More issues about people not being able to vote.
Some places not have enough ballot papers, flipping heck how crap.

 

[livvy145]

*Leaves Debs to it*

 

[Atlas]

Cara..they trying to keep it interesting by banging on about the swing. Also they try to use it as an indicator, it's why they keep talking about it.

 

[livvy145]

[quote author=Asim link=topic=40111.msg1100637#msg1100637 date=1273186396]
More issues about people not being able to vote.
Some places not have enough ballot papers, flipping heck how crap.
[/quote]

It's unbelievable, isn't it. Some places staying open until 10.10pm, some letting people in to the polling station and locking the doors (which is what they should have all done), running out of ballot papers...

Madness.

 

[Skullflower]

[quote author=themn link=topic=40111.msg1100636#msg1100636 date=1273186392]
[quote author=Asim link=topic=40111.msg1100622#msg1100622 date=1273184200]
Also, out of curiosity have any celeb type figures said they will leave the county should Cons win or Lab stay in?
I seem to remember a few saying they would leave the country last time.
[/quote]

Gary Barlow and Frank Lampard are Conservatives.

Make of that what you will.
[/quote]

What a pair of cunts.

 

[FoxForceFive]

[quote author=Asim link=topic=40111.msg1100637#msg1100637 date=1273186396]
More issues about people not being able to vote.
Some places not have enough ballot papers, flipping heck how crap.
[/quote]

Liverpool Wavertree I believe.

The polling station near me was about 14ft by 12ft & staffed by two retards who barely looked up from their texting on their phones as they pass the papers out. There was also a bin placed outside plastered in a party's posters, which either thought wasnt allowed.

 

[23carragold]

[quote author=livvy185 link=topic=40111.msg1100638#msg1100638 date=1273186403]
*Leaves Debs to it*
[/quote]

Yeah i think thats the best thing!!

I think i had a Eureka moment when i was typing my last response! And tried to get out of looking a div!! Whoops!!

I get it now!

I know why the swing is significant!

On another note, friends facebook status; 'if David Cameron gets a large swing, can i have a big slide?' made me chuckle!

 

[Sheik Yerbouti]

Pete not working in the restaurant tonight Jon?

 

[FoxForceFive]

That listing thing had happened repeatedly at the little polling station by me, the retard manning it was telling a lady in front of me it had happened all day, polling cards, but not on their list so couldnt vote.

 

[FoxForceFive]

[quote author=Sheik Yerbouti link=topic=40111.msg1100644#msg1100644 date=1273186685]
Pete not working in the restaurant tonight Jon?
[/quote]

ha.

 

[TheBunnyman]

Looking increasingly like this election is not going to be decisive.

 

[Sheik Yerbouti]

*Pushes Polling Station staff to front of Cameron's Public Servants 'To Be Sacked' List*

 

[Oncy]

[quote author=TheBunnyman link=topic=40111.msg1100647#msg1100647 date=1273186990]
Looking increasingly like this election is not going to be decisive.
[/quote]Best we could hope for really

 

[Sheik Yerbouti]

Why are we subjected to the views of a load of halfwit half bladdered 'celebs' some of whom don't even fucking live here anymore?

 

[TheBunnyman]

[quote author=Sheik Yerbouti link=topic=40111.msg1100655#msg1100655 date=1273187609]
Why are we subjected to the views of a load of halfwit half bladdered 'celebs' some of whom don't even fucking live here anymore?
[/quote]

You cheeky fucker! I've only had a couple of beers.

 

[Atlas]

[quote author=Herr Onceared link=topic=40111.msg1100653#msg1100653 date=1273187387]
[quote author=TheBunnyman link=topic=40111.msg1100647#msg1100647 date=1273186990]
Looking increasingly like this election is not going to be decisive.
[/quote]Best we could hope for really
[/quote]

Like chasing for 4th all season. Can't win it, but hoping for some shitty consolation to try and cling on to what we want

 

[Sheik Yerbouti]

Do us a favour Joan you deadheaded twat fuck off back to Hollywood.

 

[23carragold]

At least Joan Collins knows less about politics than me. She looked like the fucking joker.