[quote author=DHSC link=topic=42056.msg1235202#msg1235202 date=1292689396]
You've got a great eye for talent MC Golgotha. Draftexpress has Irving-Jones-Barnes 1-2-3 in their mock draft. Jones and Sullinger are in the top 10 too. We'll always see at least 3-4 big men in the top ten, regardless of their ability, c.f. Thabeet (What a flop that was though). NBA teams just love their big men.
What do you think of Plumlee, Singler and Smith at Duke though? It's surprising that Duke is the best team in NCAA, but their players are seldom drafted high.
[/quote]
Duke are such a well coached and well drilled unit, and their talent pool is so deep, that individual players often get overrated. Not many college teams can boast the bench they have year after year, but with success people naturally assume it is individual players that drive it. So you get Randolph situations. Just playing for them can boost your draft position by several rounds.
Also, recently a lot of the elite NBA players never went to college at all. Basketball is a sport you can play at the highest level much earlier than American football, and you look at the players that never played NCAA - Bryant, LeBron, KG, Stoudemire etc - and wonder whether success at college level doesn't make players complacent. Obviously they have to play one year now (which is a ridiculous situation - why bother when any discipline re going on academic safari is meaningless as they're one-and-out?), so you might see more Duke players being successful pros in the next decade (more high school stars who would have gone pro out of high school, like Irving and Rivers, are likely to pick Duke simply because they are the biggest name right now).
Football can be the same. You can look down the list of Heisman winners and ask legitimate questions about whether it means anything in terms of being a pro-prospect. In the last ten years only Carson Palmer and Reggie Bush have had any measure of success in the NFL, and Carson Palmer looks a shadow of himself right now (I still think there's a player in there though - he just needs to move city). Bradford obviously looks like he is going to be a bit special, but even counting him you're looking at less than a third of the "best college players of the year" making it in the pros.
College teams like to win. And winning college basketball or college football is a vastly different proposition to winning pro basketball or pro football. Some football positions lend themselves to either environment (linesmen, and defensive players generally), but quarterbacks and more or less any basketball position can be a lottery.
Plumee will see more court time this year, and if Duke do well again (if...when) he'll get hyped out of proportion. He has the physique and he looks like he's getting better. He was highly rated in the ACC last year without actually playing that well I thought. But like I said, he had to deal with the likes of Thomas and Zoubek playing in front of him. As a pro I don't know about Singler. He is a great player for Duke, but I don't know if he'd have the production in the pros. Will probably be drafted higher than he should be.
But then, what the fuck do I know? I watch way more football than basketball (more of a casual basketball viewer, and more NCAA than NBA), and I thought Clausen would be a better pro than Colt McCoy. Way to make me look a cunt, Jimmy.