Fair argument, that. I'm not persuaded they'll be able to sign enough players of sufficient quality (what they have now won't cut it) but I accept it's in the balance.
I still think they’re not far enough removed from the teams above to make relegation a certainty.
Couple of loan signings and a couple of “battle hardened” players might sort them out - it’s short term players they need right now, not players that are going to get them into Europe, but players that could see the battle up the league enough to stay up.
Tarkowski, Traoré, someone with a bit of bite in midfield and maybe a striker of some sort.
Newcastle. Hiring Eddie Howe to bring out the best in a talented attack is all good if your defence isn't on track to be the worst PL team at conceding chances since 2014. An average of 2.09 Expected Goals Against per game will be enough to see them relegated if it continues.
Wolves. A curious underperformance on underlying metrics. Their matches average 1.50 goals per game - compared with 2.60 on xG. Both attacking & defensive shot maps are a sea of blue - a bit more orange in the second half of the campaign & their games might be more watchable.
Crystal Palace. Patrick Vieira deserves a huge amount of credit for their performances. They have been excellent & deserve to be higher than 11th according to the underlying numbers. The Eagles hold the best Expected Goal Difference of any team outside the top three.
Brighton. The time of year for tradition, so how could we pick out anything other than an underperformance on Expected Goals? Graham Potter's side have scored only 14 from a total of 20.9 xGF, missing 13 big chances in the process.
Everton. A solid start under Rafa Benitez seems a long time ago. Injuries have been a huge factor, but the defensive process has simply not been good enough considering the Spaniard's style of play. They have averaged 2.10 Expected Goals Against per game across their last 11.
Southampton. Marching towards another distinctly average campaign. Scoring just 16 goals from 22.9 Expected Goals has not helped, Danny Ings clearly a big miss. It is a data point that will need to be improved if Ralph Hasenhuttl wants to avoid a relegation fight.
Leeds. Struck hard by injuries, but their defensive process is that of a relegation candidate. Only Newcastle have conceded more chances. Marcelo Bielsa's side, who have shipped 34.9 Expected Goals Against in 18 games, look especially vulnerable to counter-attacks:
Watford. Perhaps their inconsistency & attacking talent will help them survive. The Hornets have recorded Expected Goals For totals of 1.22, 2.92, 3.48 & 2.89 in their four wins, counting on sporadic - but impressive - displays to gain points.
Norwich. They look a little better since Dean Smith's appointment, but really need to do the following if they want to stay up: A) Create more chances B) Score more goals from those chances Two of their 8 goals came from the spot, so that's 6 goals from 14.9 xGF:
Burnley. The Clarets are ranking as one of the worst teams in the league. Sean Dyche's side are 16th on Expected Goal Difference (-7.7 xGD) and currently sitting two points from safety puts them in a precarious position.
Yep. There was a discussion recently on Dembele going there - I just don't think they are in that market yet for players that are going to cost the better part of £150m over 5 years (let's not even discuss the transfer fees for others).Fair argument, that. I'm not persuaded they'll be able to sign enough players of sufficient quality (what they have now won't cut it) but I accept it's in the balance.
They just signed Chris Wood just signed from Burnley.
Whoa, they really mean business...
Lol
So they're preparing for relegation already?He's scored a lot of goals in the Championship. They won't be able to sign big name players if they relegated but he'll score goals there next season.
They just signed Chris Wood just signed from Burnley.
Whoa, they really mean business...
Lol
Burnley are in real shit now.
On the other hand, Wood has scored three goals all season so it may not make much difference.
You can't be serious.The same Chris Wood that outscored Firmino, Jota and Mane in the league last year? LOL indeed
Callum Wilson is injured though isn’t he, that’s the real motivation behind this move.
Divock wasn’t even fit when we had the opportunity to pull someone’s pants down over a price for him, amazing.
Sounds cynical but assuming Watford and Norwich go down it could come down to Burnley and Newcastle for the last spot. They've just bought a player with a decent scoring record and taken him away from a direct rival. There could be something in that too.
You can't be serious.
What are you saying? That he's better?
Jota played like 20 games last season, many of them sub appearences.
Sounds cynical but assuming Watford and Norwich go down it could come down to Burnley and Newcastle for the last spot. They've just bought a player with a decent scoring record and taken him away from a direct rival. There could be something in that too.