All I know at that this time it is the whole of our department. She doesn’t want the boys to go to nursery though. What is the point of us being told to stay away from workplaces and then send them to the Petri dish which is a nursery.
Chinese "Devil Virus" - anyone worried?
- Thread starter manwithnoname
- Start date
- Latest activity Latest activity:
All I know at that this time it is the whole of our department. She doesn’t want the boys to go to nursery though. What is the point of us being told to stay away from workplaces and then send them to the Petri dish which is a nursery.
Piss isn't sterile. Don't let that put you off your water sports, I'm sure as long as you and your consenting partners are both tested for STIs you'll be fine.
Wash your hands.
FREE? just the beta version no?
It's free to play for a few weeks, then they will charge you. As I understand it.
Absolutely, I'm amazed that in the West when figures are mentioned immediately we are told that 'the figures' are at least ten times more, but for some reason China's 'figures' seem to be treated with almost reverence.
Call me a skeptic but 1.6bn bat eating, street spitting, heavy smokers led by a secretive cabal doesn't inspire my confidence in the veracity of their figures. If I was cynical I'd say they might even be tempted to tell you any old bollocks to 'save face'.
Like the Chinese might be better able to suppress an epidemic than Italians.
Hahahahaha! Don't call it a Chinese Virus though. Dat's racissssssss.
Has it hit "India - World Superpower by 2020" yet?
Because when it hits the third world properly it might be quite bad.
I'd say the Chinese government is almost purpose built to suppress the person to person communication of an invisible threat.
Are you essentially saying their categorisation of it having a r0 of 2 is inaccurate due to the lack of transmission during the early days in China? I read it quite widely that it was being reported at the beginning at around 2-2.2, but based on what you're saying, it could be more like in the 0.25 region? In the UK they are 'assuming' high numbers (although mild cases) that would tie in to a higher r0, and that's even coming from the CMO and the PM, but, without strong evidence and testing (which they're not doing outside of hospitals now) I presume this could be pie in the sky.
I don't see what the UK or Merkel etc would have to gain from quoting such large numbers and potentially creating panic though?
No what I'm saying (and the R value seems to be variable depending on country/environment but largely in the region of R2 - R2.8) is that there are two things that have happened so far that are backed up by the stats.
a) the Wuhan quarantine didn't solve the transmission issue (either domestically or internationally due to the fact it had already been spread far and wide. Today I found substantiation of my theory in Science magazine :
Motivated by the rapid spread of COVID-19 in Mainland China, we use a global metapopulation disease transmission model to project the impact of travel limitations on the national and international spread of the epidemic. The model is calibrated based on internationally reported cases, and shows that at the start of the travel ban from Wuhan on 23 January 2020, most Chinese cities had already received many infected travelers. The travel quarantine of Wuhan delayed the overall epidemic progression by only 3 to 5 days in Mainland China, but has a more marked effect at the international scale, where case importations were reduced by nearly 80% until mid February. Modeling results also indicate that sustained 90% travel restrictions to and from Mainland China only modestly affect the epidemic trajectory unless combined with a 50% or higher reduction of transmission in the community.
b) Something else is causing the dissipation of the disease. The fact that Sars/Mers etc. all dissipated of their own accord too shows that coronavirus transmissions are being impacted by something not yet identified. I think for humans to believe that quarantine and social distancing alone (both of which humans constantly break, whether willingly or otherwise) suffocated the virus is hubris. Especially when the R value is above 1.0.
Merkel (and now Trump saying it will last 18 months - contrary to all evidence) are fucking idiots. Even if true you wouldn't announce it to the world !
Drop here!
Last edited:
Just realised my opening post and title did actual call it a "Chinese Devil Virus"
Accurate
At a certain point people have to just look at that train and turn around. That's insane.
Nope, think it's the full game
Just repeating it doesn't make it a fact.
Yeah, you never see legal professionals straying out of their wheelhouse ever.
What's amazing lad? Are you worried about pansexual, polyamory, non-gender specified, racialist attribution to a Chinese Bat-eating virus?
The disparity between your posts and your perception of your posts.
I didn't say it wasn't safe, just that it's not sterile.
You're gonna end up making the bog roll shortage worse.
I couldn't give a fuck what your perception of my posts are, because you're really fucking weird
Maybe don't ask next time then?
Doesn't bother me, I've lots here.