Only thing im worried about is we might drop say 8 points in this tricky run, which might fuel a 'wheels coming off' narrative and crank up the pressure.
The next 6 games to decide the title?
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Considering we’ve dropped 2 in 17 8 in 6 would feel like that.
But 8 points would be ok as long as evrybody keeps their heads after that, but you know how fragile our confidence can be! Beating Leicester would be a huge start to this run.
I think the key is to not lose anymore points than Man City. If they drop 8 then us dropping 8 is ok although any less would be superb. Leicester are irrelevant in terms of title discussions
Im thinking about the Anfield atmosphere getting hysterical, the press saying we are bottling it...which then might affect the players.
Lets just keep beating everybody so I dont have to think about it!
Lets just keep beating everybody so I dont have to think about it!
Wolves will have a massive say in this. If they get any points out of City and we beat them and Leicester it’s one hand on the trophy.
I'm gonna be in town watching the wolves game, I'm really, really hoping we've pulled maximum points from them both & I can cheer Sheff Utd on against city in the pub knowing if they take points off them that their challenge is all but over.
City can only finish on 98 points even if they win every game...every 2 points dropped by them is huge now. Couple more slip ups over xmas and its going to kill them off, if the most they can get from then is low to mid 90s, even with a perfect run.
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We need 2.63 pts per game (from 19 games) to reach 99 pts and guarantee winning it. Leicester have won 2.16 pts per game to date (18 games) and City 2.11 (18).
City aren't going to win 18 games on the bounce. They'll drop points somewhere so lets say 15 wins and 3 draws, that means we'll need just 92 pts to win it or another 43 pts which means just 2.26 points a game. Putting that in context 2.26 ppg equates to virtually enough to finish 2nd or 3rd over a whole season. Or to put it another way : W13 D4 L 2 be good enough.
OOPS (sorry Mista D) ! Fucked up thinking only 36 games a season
Updated !
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@Frogfish - the 2019 assessment is not something i can take. You left out 3 games we should have won givem the state of the opposition at the time, West Ham, Everton, And Man United. They were in bad shape, leading upto our away games with thise teams, and given our form we should have beaten at least one of those teams. I can forgive us for not beating city and drawing with leicester at home because of the conditions on that night. Honestly I think we could have been braver in the three games i have listed. Feels like when we went behind by 1pt to city then we realised we had to be braver and win every fucking game.
Well to be fair in your assessment you have left out every game in which City dropped points ! Surely they should have won all of them too ? Let's have a degree of realism eh.
You might want to check your math. City can get 98 if they win all their remaining games. Unlikely but not impossible with their squad and history over the last two seasons.
How long do we stay with a game in hand? Looks to be about 2 months? Would be nice to keep the gap around where it is then destroy hope by winning that extra match.
however i just want us to get through the next 3-4 with wins then we can properly assess. Not even half way through yet!
however i just want us to get through the next 3-4 with wins then we can properly assess. Not even half way through yet!
Haha I seem to have teleported to the future where the PL only plays 36 games a year .. somehow (thereby giving one team a week a rest).
This time last year we were 7 points ahead and went on to lose the league
this year it’s that we are 10 points ahead.
it’s not that different at all. We could blow it again if VVD got injured for example
we’ve made a lot of luck and it will go against us at some point so please stop all this hypothetical baloney
next game is all that counts
this year it’s that we are 10 points ahead.
it’s not that different at all. We could blow it again if VVD got injured for example
we’ve made a lot of luck and it will go against us at some point so please stop all this hypothetical baloney
next game is all that counts
Eh, B, every fucking time.
My exact feeling. Im too old for this shit
Tough stretch but city have to be perfect too...
Arguably our toughest test. Not even 48 hours rest
Not really the same at all. We are 11 pts ahead of City with a game in hand so essentially we have double the lead.
Leicester are irrelevant
We get 72 hours (play on 26th and 29th) and wolves get 48 (play on 27th and 29th) give or take 2-3 hours for both teams
That kind of arrogance causes banana skins. Next game only please, or have you forgotten we've come second four times in the past 16 years.
Not arrogant at all. Just pointing out that the situations are vastly different. We also only assumed top spot over this period last year and City had a big dip in consecutive games. This year we’ve lead from from early on and bar the Utd weekend we’ve extended our league again and again.
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