Betting The Grand National - How to pick the winner
- Thread starter Rosco
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I've gone for Black Apalachi and State Of Play
[quote author=Mors link=topic=32420.msg836757#msg836757 date=1238751438]
[quote author=Sheik Yerbouti link=topic=32420.msg836741#msg836741 date=1238750960]
I've gone for Black Apalachi and State Of Play
[/quote]
Betfair is reporting that Black Apache is carrying 11st 5 mate 😱
[/quote]
Oh well. It's a lottery at the end of the day.
[quote author=Sheik Yerbouti link=topic=32420.msg836741#msg836741 date=1238750960]
I've gone for Black Apalachi and State Of Play
[/quote]
Betfair is reporting that Black Apache is carrying 11st 5 mate 😱
[/quote]
Oh well. It's a lottery at the end of the day.
[quote author=Sheik Yerbouti link=topic=32420.msg836765#msg836765 date=1238751624]
[quote author=Mors link=topic=32420.msg836757#msg836757 date=1238751438]
[quote author=Sheik Yerbouti link=topic=32420.msg836741#msg836741 date=1238750960]
I've gone for Black Apalachi and State Of Play
[/quote]
Betfair is reporting that Black Apache is carrying 11st 5 mate 😱
[/quote]
Oh well. It's a lottery at the end of the day.
[/quote]
Very true, and it's a very good hoss. I'd have been on it if it wasn't for the weight.
[quote author=Mors link=topic=32420.msg836757#msg836757 date=1238751438]
[quote author=Sheik Yerbouti link=topic=32420.msg836741#msg836741 date=1238750960]
I've gone for Black Apalachi and State Of Play
[/quote]
Betfair is reporting that Black Apache is carrying 11st 5 mate 😱
[/quote]
Oh well. It's a lottery at the end of the day.
[/quote]
Very true, and it's a very good hoss. I'd have been on it if it wasn't for the weight.
[quote author=Fox link=topic=32420.msg836877#msg836877 date=1238760004]
my money has gone on...
To win
Rambling Minster
Kilbeggan Blade
Darkness
Parsons Legacy
[/quote]
I'm going to lump onto Rambling Minster. I think if it can finish the race, it'll win. It's in excellent form, and ticks all the boxes - right weight, right age, right form, won over the distance etc etc
I usually back 2-3, but it'll defo be one of mine.
my money has gone on...
To win
Rambling Minster
Kilbeggan Blade
Darkness
Parsons Legacy
[/quote]
I'm going to lump onto Rambling Minster. I think if it can finish the race, it'll win. It's in excellent form, and ticks all the boxes - right weight, right age, right form, won over the distance etc etc
I usually back 2-3, but it'll defo be one of mine.
S
Squiggles
Guest
I'm backing last years winner, Comply or Die, then probably one of the favourites too.
Got a tip from Amber cabs today but didnt pass it around cause a lad in work gave me a tip yesterday and it didnt come off and didnt want to pass on dud info again. Just told one person about it and they backed it too.
Should never doubt ambs at this stage:
Bet Receipt No. : O/20712830/0000493
Selection Selection Details Result
1 Horse Racing Win
DUNDALK
8:00 APPRENTICE HAN 1m 4f
3rd of Apr 2009 8:00 pm
Win or each way
1/4 places 1,2,3
Otterstown Lady @ 12 - 1 (GP)
He had €20 e.w. on it. I had a lousy fiver on it.
Should never doubt ambs at this stage:
Bet Receipt No. : O/20712830/0000493
Selection Selection Details Result
1 Horse Racing Win
DUNDALK
8:00 APPRENTICE HAN 1m 4f
3rd of Apr 2009 8:00 pm
Win or each way
1/4 places 1,2,3
Otterstown Lady @ 12 - 1 (GP)
He had €20 e.w. on it. I had a lousy fiver on it.
better than nothing Dave.
I've narrowed my national horses down to :
Kilbeggan Blade @20/1
Southern Vic @ 25/1
Rambling Minster @10/1
Idle talk @ 66/1 may be worth a couple of quid each way (but no more than that!). Can't Buy Time is another long priced E/W shot.
I normally back two horses in the national, but I'm tempted to go for three this time. While I've picked Kilbeggan Blade I'm not entirely sure it'll get around unscathed but if it does I'd take it to beat Rambling Minster based on past form between the two. It's chase mark is a little bit lower than it probably should be because it's gone over hurdles a good bit this year.
Southern Vic's price drifted out after Ruby decided not to ride it, a lot was made of it needing soft ground and at the time Ruby made his decision I think they were expecting no rain between then and the race, but I think there's going to be rain tomorrow isn't there ? Anyway - I don't see any form that states it doesn't run well on good ground (because it never has run on goog ground), but it has won on yielding ground.
Rambling Minster is a good solid (and popular) choice, so there's not a whole lot to say about it.
Of those three - Southern Vic is the only Irish bred one, and Irish bred horses have won 8 of the last 9. So I'll probably stick with that. It's got a very canny trainer and a good experienced jockey on board.
I've narrowed my national horses down to :
Kilbeggan Blade @20/1
Southern Vic @ 25/1
Rambling Minster @10/1
Idle talk @ 66/1 may be worth a couple of quid each way (but no more than that!). Can't Buy Time is another long priced E/W shot.
I normally back two horses in the national, but I'm tempted to go for three this time. While I've picked Kilbeggan Blade I'm not entirely sure it'll get around unscathed but if it does I'd take it to beat Rambling Minster based on past form between the two. It's chase mark is a little bit lower than it probably should be because it's gone over hurdles a good bit this year.
Southern Vic's price drifted out after Ruby decided not to ride it, a lot was made of it needing soft ground and at the time Ruby made his decision I think they were expecting no rain between then and the race, but I think there's going to be rain tomorrow isn't there ? Anyway - I don't see any form that states it doesn't run well on good ground (because it never has run on goog ground), but it has won on yielding ground.
Rambling Minster is a good solid (and popular) choice, so there's not a whole lot to say about it.
Of those three - Southern Vic is the only Irish bred one, and Irish bred horses have won 8 of the last 9. So I'll probably stick with that. It's got a very canny trainer and a good experienced jockey on board.
[quote author=Rosco link=topic=32420.msg837354#msg837354 date=1238832759]
Ok I'm backing these three and leaving it at this:
Southern Vic
Brooklyn Brownie
Kilbeggan Blade
[/quote]
I like those 3 but Southern Vic puts me off by being a horse that seems prone to mistakes. It's good, but I'd have thought it'd need a big slice of luck.
I've had:
Kilbeggan
Brooklyn
Rambling
Himalayan
*E/W btw, I dont fancy any of them on the nose*
Ok I'm backing these three and leaving it at this:
Southern Vic
Brooklyn Brownie
Kilbeggan Blade
[/quote]
I like those 3 but Southern Vic puts me off by being a horse that seems prone to mistakes. It's good, but I'd have thought it'd need a big slice of luck.
I've had:
Kilbeggan
Brooklyn
Rambling
Himalayan
*E/W btw, I dont fancy any of them on the nose*
S
Squiggles
Guest
Kilbeggan Blade @20/1
Southern Vic @ 25/1
Rambling Minster @10/1
Yeah, I just backed all them. You seemed to know what you're on about.
Southern Vic @ 25/1
Rambling Minster @10/1
Yeah, I just backed all them. You seemed to know what you're on about.
S
Squiggles
Guest
*sharpens knives*
i picked
big fella thanks @ 22-1
and can't buy time @ 40-1
big fella thanks @ 22-1
and can't buy time @ 40-1
100-1 winner. Mon Mome
WOW 😱
WOW 😱
Shit thread
God_23 backed Mom Mome in the past an it pissed in for him. We were telling him he has to back it again over having history with the horse. He didn't, he's sick. Haha.
Fair play to your old lad Ross.
Amber cabs got a text about Alexander Beetle in the last race 40/1. Haha. Might stick tiny e.w. bet on it.
Fair play to your old lad Ross.
Amber cabs got a text about Alexander Beetle in the last race 40/1. Haha. Might stick tiny e.w. bet on it.
[quote author=Rosco link=topic=32420.msg837645#msg837645 date=1238859990]
I've backed Mon Mome in the past too, but I didn't even consider doing it this time so I'm not too bothered.
I think I'll have a look at Alexander Beetle, cheers.
[/quote]
He said he doesnt know anything about the horse and just got text. Should have texted you on the 12/1 winner last night.
Lad in work backs Mon Mome the whole time. Don't think he went near him today. OOPS.
I've backed Mon Mome in the past too, but I didn't even consider doing it this time so I'm not too bothered.
I think I'll have a look at Alexander Beetle, cheers.
[/quote]
He said he doesnt know anything about the horse and just got text. Should have texted you on the 12/1 winner last night.
Lad in work backs Mon Mome the whole time. Don't think he went near him today. OOPS.
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