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Teams that changed managers

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He doesn't.

The argument is that when you equalise all other factors there isn't any evidence that a manager doing his coaching, tactics and all that nonsense is any bettered worse than anyone else.

Both Chelsea and us improved because of the money spent. Not the manager.

In Chelseas case both Rafa and Di Matteo won exactly the same number of average points per game, working in almost indentical circumstances. It's the strongest point in support of the argument. (Which is not a controversial point, but a proven statistical fact)

I can't see how this opinion can be proven it seems conceptually unproven and factually incorrect.

You can't 'equalize all other factors' (except in a controlled experiment) and there has been no analysis I'm aware of as to whether a team fares better with or without a manager. I can only think of the anecdotal evidence of caretaker managers which, as you'd expect, is a random business of successes and failures.

Factually, points total needs to cover all games or it has no significance in a value judgment.

I think an expensively assembled group of players with no manager would be disorganized and unlikely to meld into a team of it's own accord.
 
Apparently Rodgers is now seventh in the premier leagues management tenure list for time served with 11 months. Regardless of performance or comparison, it shows how ridiculous this league has become.
 
But the managers don't only manage league games. For example:

Benitez

Di Matteo

And the others:

Southampton - Adkins 23 points in 22 games. Pocchetino 16 games, 18 points.
Unbeaten in 68% vs Adkins’ 54% (56% of games against top 10 sides vs 50% during Adkins’ reign), GD -1 vs -10 despite close PPM stat

Tottenham - sacked Harry after finishing 4th with 69 points. Appointed AVB, they finish 5th with 72 points.

Lost VDV, Modric – 80 apps, 18 goals, 15 assists
11/12: 3rd in Europa League grp stage, League Cup 3rd round, FA Cup semis
12/13: Europa League Q-finals, League Cup last 16, FA Cup 4th round. Tottenham's 72-point Premier League tally is their highest ever.


Liverpool - 8th with 52 points under Kenny, spent significantly in the windows and finished 7th with 61 points under Rodgers.

Lost Carroll, Bellamy, Kuyt, Rodriguez, Adam – contributed 184 appearances, 31 goals, 28 assists the previous season
Of the money spent: Borini’s injuries (Sep, Oct, Feb) = stop-start season, Coutinho & Sturridge only arrived in midseason. These 3 (31m) = 64% of the money spent half/under-utilized


West Brom - 10th with 47 points under Hodgson, 8th with 49 points under Clarke.
1st season in 1st team management. Record points haul in the Premier League. Only manager spent was on Ben Foster. (And would 17 goals Lukaku have moved there had it not been the Clarke factor?)

Swansea - 11th with 47 points under Rodgers. 9th with 46 points under Laudrup.

11/12: League Cup 2nd round, FA Cup 4th round
12/13: League Cup winners, FA Cup 3rd round
This after losing Sigurdsson, Caulker, Sinclair, Allen – 124 apps, 19 goals, 15 assists. How's Michu for a signing

Aston Villa - 16th with 38 points under McLeish, 15th with 41 points under Lambert after spending 20m net.

11/12: League Cup 3rd round, FA Cup 4th round
12/13: League Cup semis, FA Cup 4th round
Average squad age down from 28 to 24, slashing the wage bill in the process too. Is Benteke not Lambert’s find? And surely his value would’ve tripled now?

Is there any coincidence that these new managers have brought the best out of certain players and/or made some splendid signings and have done considerably well/set records despite the different difficulties faced? Tottenham (Bale) Liverpool (Suarez, Coutinho, Sturridge), West Brom (Lukaku), Swansea (Michu), Aston Villa (Weimann, Benteke)...
 
Harry Redknapp on promoted club's British managers.

Before everyone starts to write these clubs off for next season, just think about what they have done. Could Wenger, Benitez or Mancini have done that with the players those three had last season?

If you put Mackay, Bruce and Holloway in charge of Manchester City, Chelsea and Arsenal next year they would still finish in the top four because it’s the clubs which have got them there.

It’s not really about who has managed them. The clubs with the most money generally have the best players, the best facilities and the best set-up.

Last season’s top seven will be next season’s top seven. It’s sorted already barring a miracle.
 
A 60,000 seat stadium with the debts almost gone. Owned by a multi-biilionaire and have a big corporate concrete bowl for a ground.
Constant CL football year after year. Without ever winning it. Ever.
Finishing above their local rivals. Who never win anything or challenge for the title.

I think I'd celebrate like we'd won a trophy if we ended a season in that position any time soon.

Fuck Arsenal.
 
I think it is true that with any given group of players, changing the manager will not have a terribly great effect between one season and the next. But this completely ignores a few key points:

(1) Managers determine the players that will be bought or sold. It's an inextricable part of the job. They determine the profile of players that the club scouts for, the style of play and usually have a direct say. They also attract players or chase them away with their reputation / personality and man-management. Over a transition season this is not apparent but over a long period the influence of a manager is tremendous. The Arsenal and Man Utd are imprinted with Ferguson / Arsene.

(2) Managers may not be able to turn a group of poor quality players into a CL team, but things like thrash-talking, tactics, subs, motivational talks, training, set pieces etc do affect games sufficiently to earn or lose a few points. Those few points are crucial to teams vying for the league position or relegation. It's why Mourinho is so sought after. It's just that little edge he has. To say that it doesn't matter is like saying goalkeepers or right backs don't matter. Of course it bloody matters.

Which brings me to:

(3) The reason why you don't see managers changing the fortunes of teams much in the EPL is because by and large the managers in the league aren't all that different. They are like goalkeepers. Goalkeepers don't make much difference because all the EPL goalkeepers are of the requisite standard. Try installing one of these Shebby Singh types and you'll see the difference.
 
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