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Newcastle vs Liverpool - preview

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Rory Fitzgerald

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A team of 2 halves

The Newcastle United team this season have a very clear strength and a very clear weakness that simply breaks down as their 'attack & defence'. The dichotomy within the team is almost perfectly reflected in the current standings with a record of 3 wins, 3 loses and the other being a draw. Appropriately for this team, its black & white with little apparent grey area. The enigmatic performances don't even stretch from just game-to-game but even half to half.

Pardew after Everton defeat: "The 1st half, I'm afraid, wasn't good enough. The inconsistencies I spoke about before the game have come back to haunt us again. We defended so much better in the 2nd half. We didn't gift them any goals. They had to earn their chances and we caused them all sorts of problems".

Pardew after Cardiff victory: "1st half - wow - was some performance it really was, one of the best halves I have seen as Newcastle manager. But this team does really need a health warning because 2nd half we didn't keep it as well or create as much as we would've liked ....... and had to have a grandstand finish unfortunately".

Set up

Newcastle's shape is very much a 4-2-3-1 type set up. The defensive midfield duo is generally Sissoko partnered, mostly by Suarez's old Ajax team-mate Vurnon Anita, or less frequently, Cheik Tiote. Yohan Cabaye has been the player given licence to get forward and support Papiss Cisse and feed the likes Loic Remy and Hatem Ben Arfa. However, at times Sissoko will also use his energy to break forward . These are likely to be sporadic bursts from midfield rather than stationing himself in an advanced area, Cabaye is the player likely to position himself at the apex of the midfield.

AvePitchPositionvsVilla.png

On the set up above after the Villa game, Pardew commented that "We played very, very well today and I thought some of our play was what it should be at Newcastle. We have a real attacking mode at the club and that's the type of offensive side I want to put out , but I have been unable to do so really since Demba Ba left". Against Liverpool, it will be the 1st home game since being humbled at Goodison Park - should Pardew seek to appease the fans and field his favoured attacking line-up, the above is what can we expect.

Mode of attack

The attacking strength within this team is very definitely carried by the wide players - Remy on the left & Ben Arfa on the right . However, 'wide' is something of a misnomer. Whilst they will be stationed wide, once they receive possession their initial instinct is to look to carry the ball infield and attack towards goal. Pardew has stationed Remy on the left to allow him to cut in on his right foot whilst Ben Arfa is predominantly left-footed and dribbles infield from the right to get a shot off.

Below is Remy's goal against Cardiff. Initially Cardiff are attacking (1st screenshot) but the pass into the striker is intercepted. The interception falls to Sissoko who immediately looks for Remy (2nd screenshot). I will touch on Remy's positioning further on but for the sake of the attacking side of Newcastle's game, this approach has allowed Newcastle to counter swiftly with Remy getting down the line in the final screenshot and cutting inside to get a shot off which managed to beat David Marshall to give Newcastle the lead. Also of note is there was alot of running in this move from Sissoko.

RemygoalvsCardiff.PNG

On the other side of the pitch, Ben Arfa demonstrates the same tendancies though he is a bit more willing to go on the outside for the cross. However, if there is any space inside, he will look to exploit it. By coming inside, he is likely to be supported by Cabaye in the attacking midfield role and have a willing runner from the left in Remy who will look to get into the box when the play is not coming down his flank. As an example, here are 2 seperate attempts by Ben Arfa vs Villa that almost look identical. In the 2nd screenshot, Guzan could only parry the shot out to Gouffran who scored the winner from the rebound. This bears some similarities to Giaccherini's goal at the Stadium of Light i.e. a long shot parried out and capitalised on by the opposition.

BenArfaInside.png

Below are the heat maps of both Remy & Ben Arfa from the recent home game against Hull City. Apart from being almost identical, they would seem to show 2 players that receive the ball in wide areas inside the oppositions half but try to move infield the further forward the play is. Also, there is a limited presence in the wing positions near the goal line for providing crosses.

Remy-BenArfa.png

Threats from distance

Linked to the above analysis, Newcastle have taken the 3rd most shots on goal in the league this season and those 2 wide players average the most shots per game for Newcastle. Also something to be considered is that Newcastle have taken the most shots from outside the box this season. As such, should the likes of Remy, Cabaye and Ben Arfa find the kind of space that Sunderland got outside the box only 3 weeks ago when Liverpool played away in the north-east then we could be facing quite a few shots again, though from better strikers of a football.

The threat from Remy is depicted below in the 1st graphic. No other club has got off more shots from the left side of the pitch. Additionally, with Cisse off form and Cabaye only starting half the games so far, Newcastle's attempts from the middle of the pitch are 3rd lowest (2nd graphic). The threat from Newcastle is from players cutting in and getting shots off with the final graphic showing where Newcastle have got their goals from.

NewcastleShootingPositions.png


As there are only 5 graphics permitted on the board, the rest of the preview is here;

The Inside Right
 
Rory I sure hope you get paid one way or another, for the amazing work you put into doing this almost every week. 'Cos it would be a huge shame if you don't.
 
Rory I sure hope you get paid one way or another, for the amazing work you put into doing this almost every week. 'Cos it would be a huge shame if you don't.

agreed, its better than pretty much all match previews ive seen by any professional publications , im not payin you mind, im skint!
 
Great preview @Rory Fitzgerald I'd be interested in hearing more of your thoughts about which line up you'd like to see and which you think we'll see?

The idea of switching Sakho and Toure is a nice one, we are definitely going to leak a few shots from range!
 
Thanks @Brizzle - its a bit of a strange one because Johnson could be back and ready to play so its difficult to know what options Rodgers has.

In any event, Sterling at RWB on the same side as Remy is a no-no. Either Johnson or Henderson at RWB.
 


Had a quick skim. Noticed this.

What is a "Giggs"?
A "Giggs" is when you post something that's already been posted. The origin of "Giggs" derives from when Ryan Giggs (of Manchester United fame) scored a goal and a forum member said "Giggs has scored!" significantly later. So when a member appears to be slow and behind the times, we refer to "Giggs has scored" or simply "Giggs". This explanation - used so often – has become a "Giggs" in itself.

Our very own version of quiffing.
 
jaysus , those newcastle fans aren't very confident at all . 85% predict a loss , so from their point of view we should win this easily . hmm i'm not so sure .

anyway fuck detailed tactics, bypass midfield and get it up to the two lads up front !
 
Those Newcastle supporters are right. On current form we should beat them quite easily.
Question is, will we bottle it?
 
Saw this on the Newcaste fans forum, it's their version of quiffing..........

What is a "Giggs"?
A "Giggs" is when you post something that's already been posted. The origin of "Giggs" derives from when Ryan Giggs (of Manchester United fame) scored a goal and a forum member said "Giggs has scored!" significantly later. So when a member appears to be slow and behind the times, we refer to "Giggs has scored" or simply "Giggs". This explanation - used so often – has become a "Giggs" in itself.
 
Saw this on the Newcaste fans forum, it's their version of quiffing..........

What is a "Giggs"?
A "Giggs" is when you post something that's already been posted. The origin of "Giggs" derives from when Ryan Giggs (of Manchester United fame) scored a goal and a forum member said "Giggs has scored!" significantly later. So when a member appears to be slow and behind the times, we refer to "Giggs has scored" or simply "Giggs". This explanation - used so often – has become a "Giggs" in itself.


erm...

Had a quick skim. Noticed this.

What is a "Giggs"?
A "Giggs" is when you post something that's already been posted. The origin of "Giggs" derives from when Ryan Giggs (of Manchester United fame) scored a goal and a forum member said "Giggs has scored!" significantly later. So when a member appears to be slow and behind the times, we refer to "Giggs has scored" or simply "Giggs". This explanation - used so often – has become a "Giggs" in itself.

Our very own version of quiffing.
 
Rory (and other tactually inclined posters), what in your opinion is the best way to counter the threat of 2 wingers who like to cut in on their stronger foot to shoot? Would 3 CBs be more of a help or a hindrance (if they are unable to prevent Remy and Ben Arfa from shooting from distance and just cover up Mignolet's field of vision/increase the likelihood of deflections)? I would think that having a lot of players in the middle is the answer, so maybe it's time to ditch a CB in favor of another CM (Allen?). Or maybe Henderson can be instructed to follow Remy closely whenever he cuts in while Lucas and Enrique focus on containing Ben Arfa (I don't think Moses can be relied upon to track back too much).

I am more concerned about the defense in this game, because I think in attack the combination of Sturridge and Surarez and the leaky Newcastle defense should give us enough opportunities to score. We will win if we manage to contain their attacking threat well enough.

For some reason I have a feeling that we will see a team with all our 4 nominal CMs on the pitch at the same time.
 

I remember someone (think it was Marquis) telling us in the thread where 'Quiffing' was first born, that another forum she posted on had a different word for it also.

I find it interesting, the evolution of a term needed in language due to a technological advancement (conversing online in real time).

It's certainly more required than some that get added to the dictionary every year, like chillax etc.
 
Not comfortable with 3 at the back vs Cisse, Remy and Ben Arfa.
Desperatly need a win to keep the momentum going. Lets hope we turn up ready to fight and play them of the ground. After losing 6-0 in our previous meeting they'll be up for it.
 
Not comfortable with 3 at the back vs Cisse, Remy and Ben Arfa.
Desperatly need a win to keep the momentum going. Lets hope we turn up ready to fight and play them of the ground. After losing 6-0 in our previous meeting they'll be up for it.

True, also I'd expect most if not all our rivals to all win this weekend...Arsenal at home to Norwich, United at home to Southampton and Chelsea at home to Cardiff etc.
 
No Lucas tomorrow as his wife went into labor today.

People also say no Enrique - not sure why.
 
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