OK - I've been thinking about this. Let's look at it this way :
At this stage last season (i.e. after 8 games) we had 13 points and we ended the season on 75; applying the same trajectory for this season, our current total of 20 points implies we will end the season on just over 115 points.
Do the same to City's projected total: after 8 games last season they had 22 points, and they finished on 100 - so this season they are heading for just short of 91 points.
#justsayin
PS Unfortunately finishing 24 points ahead of them means they pip us to the tile by 1 point due to that 25 point handicap we have to deal with, but at least it means we start the 19/20 season with just a 1 point handicap