Chris Bascombe in the Torygraph
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Jurgen Klopp needs answers – and fast – to revive flagging Liverpool
The Liverpool manager is facing a decision that could define his future and may need to become more brutal
ByChris Bascombe6 January 2023 • 4:30pm
The question facing Jurgen Klopp is whether five defeats in 17 Premier League games for his Liverpool side are merely a blip or the end of a cycle for a fine side.
That they have a problem in transition is obvious, given how vulnerable they are when they lose possession: they have conceded 51 clear-cut chances this season – double the number of the five sides above them in the Premier League.
Couple that with the exciting-but-raw Darwin Núñez’s need to increase his chance conversion above 22 per cent, and the reason they have a fight on their hands to make the top four is plain.
The broader issue, however, is not the deficiencies when full-throttle attack morphs into unreliable defence, the fragilities of a once formidable structure exposed in the
latest meek defeat by Brentford this week. It is the general switch from a side beaten only four times in all competitions last season to one in need of reinvigoration to get back to being title challengers.
Seamless transition is rare. Who in English football, other than Sir Alex Ferguson, has successfully moved from one triumphant era to the next over the past 30 years?
Arsène Wenger could not do it, nor could Jose Mourinho and his Chelsea successors. Manchester City have also had to change managers to keep the trophies coming. Even Ferguson oversaw a short period of regression, suffering a four-year wait from 2003 before he regained the championship.
Unlike Klopp, whose man-management is considered his strongest asset, there were times when it seemed Ferguson revelled in the coldness required to ditch those who decorated the honours board, detaching emotion when telling Paul Ince, Jaap Stam and Roy Keane to leave when they felt they had more to give.
Klopp has not yet had to be so brutal with his title winners, ruthlessness reserved to the formative years of rebuilding with Christian Benteke, Mamadou Sakho, Simon Mignolet and Loris Karius. Those who deliver for him are ushered out of the front door via the red carpet.
Georginio Wijnaldum’s contract ran down, the club reasonably deciding he should not be paid more at the age of 30 than he was when 26. Adam Lallana was granted a farewell interview and open letter when he became surplus to requirements.
Sadio Mané fell into the same category, being allowed to leave when a new contract would have meant a salary in excess of £300,000 a week, and Divock Origi was given a guard of honour to wave goodbye.
Even those who have barely contributed due to injury, such as Naby Keïta and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, are expected to end their Liverpool careers when contracts expire at the end of this season amid warm managerial embraces when others might have tried to alienate them, forcing them out in the hope of raising funds to sign that much-needed midfielder last summer. This is not Klopp’s style.
The latest contract dilemma surrounds Roberto Firmino, who inadvertently finds himself as a test case for the current state of Fenway Sports Group’s “Moneyball” strategy, given how many of its advocates have either left or are leaving Liverpool. Klopp wants him to stay, although Firmino would have to accept reduced terms in the way James Milner has with each contract renewal. It is a fair presumption that Klopp sees more value in keeping Firmino well into his thirties than some of those analysing the data. Given Firmino is Liverpool’s joint top Premier League goalscorer this season, it is hardly surprising that Klopp prefers using his eyes to the contents of a spreadsheet.
Another Brazilian, Fabinho, has been way off his usual form. At 29, he is still a saleable asset. Would Klopp choose to cash in to fund the restructuring of his midfield or, as was the case when Jordan Henderson’s deal needed updating and some within the club advised caution, would the manager find it inconceivable to lose one of his most successful players? History suggests the latter, and Klopp’s decision to use his January resources to sign another attacker in Cody Gakpo rather than a midfielder proves he has faith in his central options until the summer, believing Fabinho will overcome recent inconsistency.
He needs to because around Anfield there is an appetite for Klopp to get Liverpool back to what they were upon his arrival, when his side ran harder than any team and hunted in packs. Even when performances were erratic at the start of Klopp’s reign there was an irresistible sense of Liverpool being in the fast lane.
Memories can play tricks. That initial sprint from the blocks was fun but largely unsustainable. Liverpool sneaked into fourth by a point in Klopp’s first full campaign, beaten six times over 38 league games. A cause for celebration then, but bound to be considered a reflection of decline if it is the best Liverpool can do in 2022-23.
“Heavy metal football” remains the popular description of Klopp’s style. Since his third season, Liverpool have introduced a hint of Johan Cruyff to go with the more obvious Arrigo Sacchi tactical influence, with generally thrilling results. They have been much better in possession as well as out of it, adept at controlling the volume and making elaborate chord changes as and when necessary. But their greatest moments have always been when they reverted to Klopp’s tried and trusted method of winning the ball back as high as possible in the opposition half.
Take the most riveting performance of all, against Barcelona in the 2019 Champions League semi-final, second leg. Liverpool completed 154 fewer passes than Barcelona that night, but between them Fabinho, James Milner and Trent Alexander-Arnold retrieved possession on 47 occasions, most of them in the opposition half.
No matter what else Klopp achieves at Liverpool, that will always be the template, high-pressing performance. When the season restarted after their winter camp in Dubai, the Anfield messaging suggested he would try to restore that identity. The remaining 21 Premier League games will inform if he has the players to do it.
Like many great managers, Klopp is learning how there is more understanding – certainly externally – when a club undergo a total rebuild after a barren spell rather than one experiencing a period of reorientation following success.
We all hail the bloodletting of a revolution. The evolution? Not so much.
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