[quote author=localny link=topic=41235.msg1153584#msg1153584 date=1281708226]
Nothing is going to change until G and H realize they'll be lucky to get out without losing their shirt. The leverage are there and these potential buyers are too shrewd to pay over the odds, when they know administration is close... RBS will allow refinancing. Why? Because they stand to make a MINT. 200M in the past five years in Interest? are you kidding me?
[/quote]
I dont think so, at least not thistime.
There's no point in getting even a billion in interest if you can't actually collect on it.
This is pretty much the reason for all thebrinksmanship.
HnG know that they have the ability to litigate, but that's not going to actually put money in their pocket.
But they will use it as a threat.
But whilst RBS 'appear' to be holding all the cards, their ability to colect will still depend on securing a buyer who'll pay off the debt.
The bank will gain nothing if they keep playing hardball and attract no bidders, with the end result that we go into administration..That would firstly be a PR disaster for the bank, but more importantly the fire-sale that would ensue would net them at best a fraction of their monies due.
Prospective buyers know this, and if brinksmanship can save them a couple hundred million in cost, they will wait.
I think we're going to be sold for an amount that will allow both HnG and RBS tocollect a small profit, but thats it.
If they're lucky.
And if we are too.
Nothing is going to change until G and H realize they'll be lucky to get out without losing their shirt. The leverage are there and these potential buyers are too shrewd to pay over the odds, when they know administration is close... RBS will allow refinancing. Why? Because they stand to make a MINT. 200M in the past five years in Interest? are you kidding me?
[/quote]
I dont think so, at least not thistime.
There's no point in getting even a billion in interest if you can't actually collect on it.
This is pretty much the reason for all thebrinksmanship.
HnG know that they have the ability to litigate, but that's not going to actually put money in their pocket.
But they will use it as a threat.
But whilst RBS 'appear' to be holding all the cards, their ability to colect will still depend on securing a buyer who'll pay off the debt.
The bank will gain nothing if they keep playing hardball and attract no bidders, with the end result that we go into administration..That would firstly be a PR disaster for the bank, but more importantly the fire-sale that would ensue would net them at best a fraction of their monies due.
Prospective buyers know this, and if brinksmanship can save them a couple hundred million in cost, they will wait.
I think we're going to be sold for an amount that will allow both HnG and RBS tocollect a small profit, but thats it.
If they're lucky.
And if we are too.