Betting 2015/16 1% per day challenge
- Thread starter Pesam
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Get in!! I bet you were shitting it there for a while P
Not as much shitting myself as pissed off with myself for 2 dodgy bets, particularly the Germany v Georgia bet. Both bets won but it doesn't hide the fact that they were poor bets, the German bet was possibly my worst in 30 years of gambling!
I bet on Germany to beat Georgia; they didn't need to win the game, they have been very lethargic since the world cup, the Georgian's are no mugs and had no pressure on them etc. The Welsh bet wasn't as bad and they should have been a couple up in the first half but even still I had a nagging doubt from the first minute that Wales might struggle.
These 2 bets wouldn't have happened if I hadn't lost that earlier bet on Germany to score against Ireland and I still can't fathom how the combined talents of Muller, Ozil, Goetze, Reus, Gundogan etc couldn't get paased a central defence of O'Shea and Keogh; one an ageing and thoroughly average CD and the other a thoroughly average Championship defender.
I hope that the next time I lose a bet in this challenge I react with more control and patience. The problem with this 1% challenge is that in the back of my mind I know I have to try and stay ahead of the target but once you slip behind it's almost impossible to catch up as the pressure to keep finding bets forces you to make some poor decisions.
If i have any chance of getting anywhere near the £1,600 target I'm gonna need even more luck than I've already had.
Bank now at £222 against a target of £163.
Target for week 8 = £174.
I was looking at Man City v Bournemouth over 1.5 goals but now with Aguero and Silva out I might re-think this. I might go back to Rangers who should destroy Queen Of the South and I'm tempted to do a full bank bet @ 1.20ish. I need to wait to see the team news; I didn't back them last time because their most creative player, Zelalem who is on loan from Arsenal, was away with the USA u-21's and even though they won it took them until the 82nd minute to take the lead.
I am also very tempted to risk a few quid on the Aussies to beat Scotland. I'm no expert on rugby but fully expected to see the Aussies at 1/20 (1.05) to win but they're 1/8ish (1.12) and I can't see anyway Scotland can win this!
Target for week 8 = £174.
I was looking at Man City v Bournemouth over 1.5 goals but now with Aguero and Silva out I might re-think this. I might go back to Rangers who should destroy Queen Of the South and I'm tempted to do a full bank bet @ 1.20ish. I need to wait to see the team news; I didn't back them last time because their most creative player, Zelalem who is on loan from Arsenal, was away with the USA u-21's and even though they won it took them until the 82nd minute to take the lead.
I am also very tempted to risk a few quid on the Aussies to beat Scotland. I'm no expert on rugby but fully expected to see the Aussies at 1/20 (1.05) to win but they're 1/8ish (1.12) and I can't see anyway Scotland can win this!
I've put £100 on Rangers to beat Queens Of The South tomorrow to win £22. I'll review this bet at 2:30pm tomorrow when the teams are announced and decide whether or not to keep it or sell it. I don't think the current price of 1.22 will be available tomorrow which why I've placed it today.
Not only is Zelalem not even on the bench for Rangers but their other talented young loanee Oduwa is dropped. I still think Rangers should win but I'm not prepared to risk this bet so have cashed out. Fortunately I have sold the bet at 1.17 so my position is; no loss on Queen of the South or the draw and £5 win on Rangers.
So I'm pissed but was just about to post my lay of the 0-0 draw; whaen I typed "shit we scored" it was more a case of I was disappointed I wasn't able to post the bey before the event than the fact i was disappointed that we scored.
Sold out of this bet in the 61st minute, score still 0-0......profit £6.50
Haha I sold out because Ranieri wasn't bringing on Vardy, Drinkwater etc; as soon as I sell the bet he brings them on.
Edit: slight correction, it's only a £6.50 profit if the original bet prevails; I sold the liability on the bet so finish level if Hull do win by 2 or more.
I do make an effort once in a while to re-confirm (for any new posters to this thread) that to lay a team is to bet against a team but maybe I don't do it often enough. There are plenty of other threads however where my sanity is doubted for other reasons so your suspicions are probably valid.
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