1. This site uses cookies. By continuing to use this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Learn More.
  2. You may have to login or register before you can post and view our exclusive members only forums.
    To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
    Dismiss Notice
Why Not Register?

It only takes a few minutes to register on SixCrazyMinutes

Click Here

World Cup Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Betting Forum' started by ILD, May 19, 2014.

  1. Leo

    Leo Curse the day Banned

    Joined:
    Mar 26, 2012
    Messages:
    9,637
    Likes Received:
    3,492
    Trophy Points:
    710
    Gender:
    Male
    40 to 1 is the top price on Cahill.
    Could defo be worth a fiver at that price one goal could be enough.
     
  2. Pesam

    Pesam Forum Moderator Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2007
    Messages:
    12,532
    Likes Received:
    2,904
    Trophy Points:
    775
    Location:
    Manchester
    Thanks Leo, I think Raheem @ 25/1 is probably better value than Cahill @ 40/1.
     
  3. Pesam

    Pesam Forum Moderator Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2007
    Messages:
    12,532
    Likes Received:
    2,904
    Trophy Points:
    775
    Location:
    Manchester
    I did toy with the idea of writing a book but the problem is that you can't teach people how to distinguish between good and bad players (as evidenced by the millions of debates on millions of football websites). It's 90% about being a good judge of footballers and most of us think we are but most of us are wrong. The other essentials are; never bet more than you can afford to lose, don't bet for the sake of it i.e try and be as selective as possible (I struggle with this sometimes) and thirdly only bet on games featuring teams you've watched recently.

    Unfortunately if you follow those last 3 criteria and still lose betting on football then you're probably not that good a judge of footballers/teams.
     
  4. ILD

    ILD Very Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2006
    Messages:
    23,440
    Likes Received:
    5,287
    Trophy Points:
    1,090
    Being a good judge of footballers has nothing to do with in my opinion mate. A good player can miss a chance or concede an OG. Anything can happen in the 90 mins play. Some people 'gamble' for the fun of it. Sometimes I throw on a few first goal scorer bets for interest sake. I'll go with a hunch mostly or who ever I fancy at the time.

    However, saying that, I rarely do big bets and If I did I would be a lot more selective obviously.
     
  5. Athens

    Athens Greatest Bloke Ever [Citation Needed] Member

    Joined:
    Nov 14, 2008
    Messages:
    32,098
    Likes Received:
    25,382
    Trophy Points:
    1,775
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    Athens
    I've got those three nailed on the head. It's the other stuff I need to work on!
     
    Pesam likes this.
  6. Pesam

    Pesam Forum Moderator Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2007
    Messages:
    12,532
    Likes Received:
    2,904
    Trophy Points:
    775
    Location:
    Manchester
    Definitely, I'm all for betting for a bit of fun and if that's the case then all my previous shite is "out the window". What I was referring to was if someone actually wanted to bet more seriously, and given that over 80% (betfair statistic) of punters betting on football lose, betting for fun is much the better option.
     
    ILD likes this.
  7. Spaghetti Legs

    Spaghetti Legs Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Nov 20, 2013
    Messages:
    4,098
    Likes Received:
    1,217
    Trophy Points:
    570
    Gender:
    Male
    Betting on England centre backs to score is definately worth a punt especially when you factor in Gerrards set piece delivery, any bets involving them scoring will be good value.

    Lescott, Upson, Ferdinand, Campbell have all scored goals in recent(ish) tournements.
     
  8. Dreambeliever

    Dreambeliever From Doubter to Believer Member

    Joined:
    Aug 17, 2006
    Messages:
    32,639
    Likes Received:
    3,915
    Trophy Points:
    1,065
    Location:
    Galway, Ireland
    All South American final.

    Columbia to make the final

    Argentina to win it

    England to fail to get out off the group

    Messi top goal scorer

    Ivory Coast to make the q/f
     
  9. Leo

    Leo Curse the day Banned

    Joined:
    Mar 26, 2012
    Messages:
    9,637
    Likes Received:
    3,492
    Trophy Points:
    710
    Gender:
    Male
    Fuck sake I'm ripping up me dockets now.
     
  10. Jürgen4PM

    Jürgen4PM Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 13, 2007
    Messages:
    15,306
    Likes Received:
    1,224
    Trophy Points:
    585
    Winner/Top scorer

    Argies/Hig 45/1
    Brazil/Hulk 36/1

    Top scorer Dzeko 84/1, Lukaku 50/1

    Winner Bel 26/1, Brazil 3.5/1 and Argies 6/1

    Most cards France 21/1

    Germans to beat Ghana, Japan to beat Greece, Brazil to beat Coratia and Chile to beat Australia at 10/1
     
  11. Spaghetti Legs

    Spaghetti Legs Banned Banned

    Joined:
    Nov 20, 2013
    Messages:
    4,098
    Likes Received:
    1,217
    Trophy Points:
    570
    Gender:
    Male
    Paddy Power have some good deals on the go.

    Bet 20 quid on the top scorer and get a 5 quid free bet every time he scores, theres others but cant remember them.
     
  12. Pesam

    Pesam Forum Moderator Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2007
    Messages:
    12,532
    Likes Received:
    2,904
    Trophy Points:
    775
    Location:
    Manchester
    I've backed the Argies heavily to win the WC at 5/1, Messi 8/1 top goalscorer and Netherlands 4/5 (1.77) NOT to qualify from their group.

    Also £25 Portugal & Ghana to qualify from Group G to win £325. This is based on the fact that Germany COULD lose their first game to Portugal and their 2nd game is against Ghana in humid conditions which could catch them out. I reckon Germany will qualify but at 13/1 the Portugal/Ghana bet is good value.

    Some eejit put up 200/1 for Brazil to finish bottom of their group so I took the £2 bet that was on offer. It might seem daft but, again, it's the value bet as they should be about 70/1 to come bottom. Their first game against Croatia is trickier than it might seem and if the pressure of the occasion gets to them they could fuck-up. If they lose the first game then the pressure will become massive for the next game against mexico and given that I don't think Brazil are a GREAT team they could go to pieces....................it's very unlikely but worth a £2 bet.

    *My golden rule for betting on major championships is NOT to bet on individual games until you've seen each team play once. I watch EVERY game in the WC and will start betting on matches after the first round of games are over.

    *I may actually break my own golden rule in the first game :) I can't believe that a team with Modric, Rakatic, Lovren, Srna, Olic etc (Mandzukic is unfortunately suspended for this game) are 12/1 to win against Brazil who have so much pressure on them. I have never bet on the first round of matches in any world cup or Euro championship but fancy £20 on Croatia. I'll decide tomorrow.
     
  13. ILD

    ILD Very Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2006
    Messages:
    23,440
    Likes Received:
    5,287
    Trophy Points:
    1,090
    Totally agree with Holland not to qualify.

    Yep, PP has enhanced Croatia to 12/1 for a 90min game. Surely worth a fiver for interest sake.
     
  14. Pesam

    Pesam Forum Moderator Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2007
    Messages:
    12,532
    Likes Received:
    2,904
    Trophy Points:
    775
    Location:
    Manchester
    If Brazil score first then they should win comfortably but facing a team with Modric, Rakatic, Lovren, Olic etc and with the intense pressure of being home favourites it's gotta be worth a few quid on Croatia to spring a surprise. I never bet on the first round of games usually but, as you say, it's gotta be worth a small investment.
     
  15. ILD

    ILD Very Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2006
    Messages:
    23,440
    Likes Received:
    5,287
    Trophy Points:
    1,090
    Hmmm. I have a free fiver bet so I might slap it on at 12/1 for the interest.

    Someone is work told me that the host nation hasn't lost an opening game in the history of the WC.
     
  16. ILD

    ILD Very Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2006
    Messages:
    23,440
    Likes Received:
    5,287
    Trophy Points:
    1,090
    PP are giving enhanced odds for new customers on outright winner.

    Brazil 8/1
    Argies 12/1
    Spain 16/1

    Max bet is €10 but Argies at 12 is not to be sniffed at.
     
  17. Jürgen4PM

    Jürgen4PM Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 13, 2007
    Messages:
    15,306
    Likes Received:
    1,224
    Trophy Points:
    585
    Just dumped on Brazil to beat Croatia at 1.3

    On Betfair exchange, Croatia are 14.5/1
     
  18. Jürgen4PM

    Jürgen4PM Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 13, 2007
    Messages:
    15,306
    Likes Received:
    1,224
    Trophy Points:
    585
    Dumped on Chilie at 1.5 today.
     
  19. Jürgen4PM

    Jürgen4PM Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 13, 2007
    Messages:
    15,306
    Likes Received:
    1,224
    Trophy Points:
    585
    After watching them yesterday i'm lay betting against Brazil winning the WC, I don't fancy them at all.
     
  20. ILD

    ILD Very Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2006
    Messages:
    23,440
    Likes Received:
    5,287
    Trophy Points:
    1,090
    Are we all over Chile later tonight?

    @Ryan, what's this Oz team like?
     

Share This Page