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Betting 3% a day challenge 2012

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7 minutes gone Sunderland 0-0 Blackburn..............£100 under 3.5 goals to win £32
 
Just got home from Xmas tree shopping, I phoned in a £50 lay of Spurs at 2.04 just before kick off and so-far-so-good as they're losing 1-0.
 
[quote author=Pesam link=topic=46433.msg1438017#msg1438017 date=1323082786]



Bank now at £1451, so I'm still way ahead of the 2% target but need a good week this week to keep the 3% target in sight.


Target for week 16..............

------------------1%--------------------2%-------------------3%
----------------£315------------------£918----------------£2699
[/quote]


Bank now at £1793. I seem steadfastly stuck between the 2% and 3% target which I'm not too distressed about but if I get one really bad result I think I will have to forget the 3% target. I will post next weekend's target later.
 
£20 Bolton to win at Fulham towin £112
£25 Macclesfield to win at Shrewsbury to win £130
£30 Danny Graham 1st goal v Newcastle to win £240
£10 Long 1st goal and £10 Odemwingie 1st goal v Blackburn (£72 win Long - £90 win Odem)
 
I will phone in a £200 bet on Chelsea beating Wigan later as long as Mikel doesn't start the game, probably win about £80 if they win.
 
£500 lay of Birmingham beating Palace to win £300
£10 Murray 1st goalscorer to win £74
 
[quote author=Pesam link=topic=46433.msg1447232#msg1447232 date=1324323516]
£500 lay of Birmingham beating Palace to win £300
£10 Murray 1st goalscorer to win £74
[/quote]

0-0 after 35 minutes and it's fairly even BUT Birmingham Seem to be playing with more attacking intent than recent games so I'm gonna start laying this bet off in installments.
 
[quote author=Pesam link=topic=46433.msg1447295#msg1447295 date=1324326175]
[quote author=Pesam link=topic=46433.msg1447232#msg1447232 date=1324323516]
£500 lay of Birmingham beating Palace to win £300
£10 Murray 1st goalscorer to win £74
[/quote]

0-0 after 35 minutes and it's fairly even BUT Birmingham Seem to be playing with more attacking intent than recent games so I'm gonna start laying this bet off in installments.
[/quote]

Now + 262 on palace/draw and - 435 Birmingham

Now + 230 and - 373

Now + 80 and -80
 
Loss on this thread over the last week or so = £174, making the overall profit £1619.

The target for week 18................................

--------------------------1%-----------------------------2%-----------------------------3%---------------
------------------------£366--------------------------£1211--------------------------£4063-------------

I reckon now is the time to admit defeat in the 3% challenge and concentrate on staying above the 2% target.
 
£100 over 2.5 goals City V Stoke to win £58
£6.30 G. MacAuley 1st goalscorer for WBA against Newcastle @ 75/1
 
£8 Cox 1st goal for WBA v Spurs @ 28/1
£4 Odemwingie 1st goal @ 18/1

£3 Spearing 1st goalscorer v City @ 85/1
£3 Agger 1st goalscorer @ 46/1
 
£35 lay of Sunderland beating Wigan (ht 0-1 to Sunderland) to win £60
 
£30 Bolton to beat Everton to win £210

£5 Mark Davies 1st goalscorer @ 33/1
 
As I mentioned in the other thread, the 2 weeks over Xmas and the New Year were spent either drunk or very hungover. My betting was all over the place as was my memory and I haven't a clue which bets were meant for which challenge (I posted all the +/- bets on the other thread). Rather than guess whether or not I made a profit on either or both threads (I made an overall profit I think) I'm going to wipe those 2 weeks off the record in this 3% challenge and therefore my target for this weekend is, as was prior to Xmas, Week 18......................



--------------------------1%-----------------------------2%-----------------------------3%---------------
------------------------£366--------------------------£1211--------------------------£4063-------------

And my bank after last nights 7/1 winner is £1815
 
£150 Andy Carroll 1st goalscorer v Oldham to win £555

Edit: Carroll not starting so the bet will be voided if he's not playing when the 1st goal goes in.

£50 @ 5/1 Kuyt 1st goal.

£12 @ 9/1 Trotta 1st goal for wycombe v Huddersfield
 
£100 Over 2.5 goals Liverpool v Oldham to win £53
£10 Chris Taylor 1st goal Oldham v Liverpool @ 48/1
 
£115 lay of Barnsley beating Swansea to win £50
£74 lay of Southampton beating Coventry to win £50
£330 lay of Crawley beating Bristol City to win £250
£174 lay of MK Dons beating QPR to win £100


Edit: I put a £100 lay on Crawley @ 2.54 and a £100 back of Crawley @ 2.72 at half time and both were taken :)

Gives me a liability of £358 and a potential profit of £272

Edit: Still 0-0 in Crawley v Bristol City game so I've started laying off the liability on Crawley @ 4.0+
 
£2 craig stanley 1st goal v aston villa @ 80/1
£15 mustapha carayol 1st goal @ 26/1
£20 chris zebroski 1st goalscorer @ 15/1

£48 lay of villa beating bristol rovers to win £100

Edit: now - £99 villa winning and + £200 rovers or draw
 
£200 over 1.5 goals Spurs v Everton to win £62

Edit: I'm not sure I'm doing the right thing by selling this but I just want to focus on our game. Spurs 1-0 up so bet sold and £6 profit now on over 1.5 goals, no liability on unders.
 
The profit on this thread has taken a BIG hit and is down to £1215

Thhe target for week 19 i.e. today is..........................

----------------------1%------------------2%-----------------3%---------------
--------------------£395--------------£1598--------------£6117---------------
 
£10 Walsall to win at Bretford to win £43
£100 over 1.5 goals Huddersfield v Oldham to win £26
£49 lay of torquay winning at Macclesfield to win £30

Edit: Half time Brighton 1-0 Bristol City..........£18 lay of Brighton winning to win £50
 
Another shocker on this thread, a loss of £307 leaves the season profit @ £908.

I'm quitting this thread now and claiming a minor victory. Even though I failed miserably with the 3% target and was even failing with the 2% target, I did turn £100 into £908 and I'm quitting now before that goes.

The reason this challenge can't be successful is that you have to keep betting on strong favourites like Man Utd v Blackburn and Man City to win @ Sunderland and these short-priced bets are anathema to me. The only way to win at betting is to spot the value in a bet (usually on outsiders) and at odds approaching Evens or better (although you can still sometimes spot value at shorter prices).

I'm adding this total of £908 to my main thread and hopefully I can turn the £3000 profit so far into £6,000+ by the end of the season.
 
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