Table here :
https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/live/c3r793913xrt#Tables
Our last two games are (H) Qarabag and (A) Marseille (min 4 maybe 6)? So 16 or 18 points.
If we accept the Top 2 (Arsenal & Bayern) will be safe then these are, realistically, the remaining teams challenging for an automatic Top 8 slot:
City (+1 point) : (A) Bodo & (H) Gala
6 = 19
Atalanta (+1 point) : (H) Athletic & (A) Union SG
4 = 17
PSG (+1 point) : (A) Sporting (H) Newcastle
6 = 19
Real Madrid (level points with LFC) : (H) Monaco & (A) Benfica
4 = 16
Inter (level points) : (H) Arsenal & (A) Dortmund
1 = 13
Atletico (level points) : (A) Bodo (H) Sporting
6 = 18
Spurs (-1 point) : (H) Dortmund & (A) Frankfurt
4 = 15
Dortmund (-1 point) : (A) Spurs & (H) Inter
2 = 13
Sporting (-2 pts) : (H) PSG & (A) Athletic
0 = 10
Chelsea (-2 point) : (H) Pafos & (A) Napoli
4 = 14
Barca (-2 pts) : (A) Slavia Prague & (H) Copenhagen
6 = 16
Newcastle (-2 pts) : (H) PSV & (A) PSG
1 = 11
It's looking like we'll need to win both of our games to go through in the Top 8. Maybe it will look like this :
Arsenal 1st
Bayern 2nd
City 19
PSG 19
Atletico 18
Liverpool 18
Atalanta 17
Real or Barca or Liverpool (if we W+D) 16
